{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05346a52-30bc-437d-8d34-d9665c2d69cc", "symbol": "MYCR", "name": "Mycronic AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.234, "architecture_energy": 57.197, "architecture_maturity": 56.207, "architecture_confidence": 82.132, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.42, "rotation_up": 60.23, "upward_expansion": 80.0, "deceleration": 63.01, "rotation_down": 19.03, "downward_expansion": 9.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 325.919993, 319.501813, 309.193956, 289.803224 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 324.0, "trend_reference": 263.19439, "distance_from_trend": 0.231029, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 197.387881, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.641438, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 20.36304, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.709452, "excess_performance": 0.647958, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.231029, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149241, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.641438, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001517, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.20363, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063602, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.709452, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.906056, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1033402, "relative_activity": 0.907712, "balance": 0.906056, "dry_up": 1.261756, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067521, "annualized_volatility": 0.37892, "from_high_reference": -0.082673, "from_low_reference": 0.78685 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 263.19439, "fair_value_reference": 197.387881, "structural_low": 186.230738, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.007549, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": 0.005902, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.165596, "worst_return": -0.154307, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.046362, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.00445, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.292464, "worst_return": -0.223032, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.032288, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.000964, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.552038, "worst_return": -0.245627, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.947595, "energy": 47.945335, "activity_lines": [ 302.439998, 302.912727, 289.074254, 269.796938 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 344.399994, "volume": 2268477, "typical_volume": 1194184.3, "trend": 251.877574, "fair_value": 193.226405, "relative_strength": 36.539898, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.578121, "energy": 65.966781, "activity_lines": [ 315.999996, 310.465454, 296.326679, 276.043695 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 342.799988, "volume": 936543, "typical_volume": 1143980.2, "trend": 256.06556, "fair_value": 194.729839, "relative_strength": 32.79424, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.501039, "energy": 77.930476, "activity_lines": [ 326.479993, 316.865451, 302.753701, 281.909657 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 313.799988, "volume": 1507458, "typical_volume": 1162358.45, "trend": 259.384143, "fair_value": 196.038155, "relative_strength": 19.364436, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.642186, "energy": 58.66167, "activity_lines": [ 324.773324, 317.276358, 305.734811, 285.634459 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 324.0, "volume": 1033402, "typical_volume": 1138468.7, "trend": 263.19439, "fair_value": 197.387881, "relative_strength": 20.36304, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.234163, "energy": 57.19701, "activity_lines": [ 325.919993, 319.501813, 309.193956, 289.803224 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }