{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0545bbc0-759a-43b0-9f60-c0f3d6a07819", "symbol": "S1MF34", "name": "Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.991, "architecture_energy": 67.521, "architecture_maturity": 33.18, "architecture_confidence": 81.771, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.76, "rotation_up": 74.26, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 55.25, "rotation_down": 14.37, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 131.105335, 128.314365, 121.578186, 117.605543 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 131.100006, "trend_reference": 114.344873, "distance_from_trend": 0.146532, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 78.637328, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.667147, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 21.480095, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.191921, "excess_performance": 0.248969, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.146532, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090319, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.667147, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185867, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.214801, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.25476, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.191921, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 14.987013, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 36, "relative_activity": 0.147571, "balance": 14.987013, "dry_up": 0.23058, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03375, "annualized_volatility": 0.328207, "from_high_reference": -0.02752, "from_low_reference": 0.591942 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 114.344873, "fair_value_reference": 78.637328, "structural_low": 99.970001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.058201, "positive_rate": 0.655172, "directional_follow_through": 0.655172, "median_excess_return": 0.037703, "regime_survival": 0.758621, "best_return": 0.257671, "worst_return": -0.182754, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.062119, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": 0.067522, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.292148, "worst_return": -0.074648, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.205435, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.173088, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.328872, "worst_return": 0.01185, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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126.284665, 122.722909, 116.075387, 113.873778 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 132.990005, "volume": 101, "typical_volume": 242.0, "trend": 112.57117, "fair_value": 77.464675, "relative_strength": 23.23755, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.512455, "energy": 95.579032, "activity_lines": [ 128.856001, 125.183273, 118.155628, 115.245211 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 131.559998, "volume": 27, "typical_volume": 243.25, "trend": 113.503691, "fair_value": 78.052475, "relative_strength": 18.740321, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.154358, "energy": 87.588998, "activity_lines": [ 130.366667, 126.945636, 119.963269, 116.470297 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 131.100006, "volume": 36, "typical_volume": 243.95, "trend": 114.344873, "fair_value": 78.637328, "relative_strength": 21.480095, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.99125, "energy": 67.520623, "activity_lines": [ 131.105335, 128.314365, 121.578186, 117.605543 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }