{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05518112-a91f-4eac-a9b0-8ad1a04f028e", "symbol": "PETRONET", "name": "Petronet LNG Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 52.564, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 12.054, "architecture_energy": 7.83, "architecture_maturity": 39.757, "architecture_confidence": 83.39, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.88, "rotation_up": 32.94, "upward_expansion": 26.98, "deceleration": 42.85, "rotation_down": 26.42, "downward_expansion": 22.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 278.443337, 278.388677, 275.539787, 275.627174 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 280.600006, "trend_reference": 278.030601, "distance_from_trend": 0.009241, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 276.875567, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.013452, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.430019, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.051546, "excess_performance": -0.007837, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.009241, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00083, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.013452, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023023, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.0243, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011594, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.051546, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.208944, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5851242, "relative_activity": 0.508472, "balance": 1.208944, "dry_up": 0.731515, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042862, "annualized_volatility": 0.307997, "from_high_reference": -0.140319, "from_low_reference": 0.192267 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 278.030601, "fair_value_reference": 276.875567, "structural_low": 235.350006, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.006495, "positive_rate": 0.347826, "directional_follow_through": 0.347826, "median_excess_return": -0.011235, "regime_survival": 0.608696, "best_return": 0.126524, "worst_return": -0.088711, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.000747, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.027127, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.061403, "worst_return": -0.148727, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.060346, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.086743, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 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273.398138, 275.604386 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 274.700012, "volume": 13121624, "typical_volume": 13969561.25, "trend": 278.602268, "fair_value": 275.849289, "relative_strength": 3.81869, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.35196, "energy": 11.401575, "activity_lines": [ 275.980005, 276.631685, 273.674006, 275.337573 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 280.75, "volume": 7279631, "typical_volume": 12550665.95, "trend": 278.258935, "fair_value": 276.366913, "relative_strength": 3.357591, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.485634, "energy": 7.750432, "activity_lines": [ 277.18667, 277.628418, 274.600825, 275.476137 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 280.600006, "volume": 5851242, "typical_volume": 11507511.0, "trend": 278.030601, "fair_value": 276.875567, "relative_strength": 2.430019, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.053913, "energy": 7.830462, "activity_lines": [ 278.443337, 278.388677, 275.539787, 275.627174 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }