{ "ticker": { "uuid": "055b928f-2739-45c7-be5f-dff64ada074b", "symbol": "CREATIVEYE", "name": "Creative Eye Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.09, "architecture_energy": 27.626, "architecture_maturity": 15.585, "architecture_confidence": 89.72, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.1, "rotation_up": 21.17, "upward_expansion": 4.56, "deceleration": 47.35, "rotation_down": 51.91, "downward_expansion": 77.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.29, 6.318727, 6.504381, 6.552409 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.27, "trend_reference": 6.632667, "distance_from_trend": -0.054679, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.383013, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.017705, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.176904, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.081991, "excess_performance": -0.038282, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.054679, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035576, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.017705, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152899, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.091769, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074529, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.081991, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.275557, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63664, "relative_activity": 0.74706, "balance": 1.275557, "dry_up": 2.314662, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102319, "annualized_volatility": 0.297956, "from_high_reference": -0.289921, "from_low_reference": 0.158965 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.632667, "fair_value_reference": 6.383013, "structural_low": 5.41, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.002292, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004485, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.149201, "worst_return": -0.16, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.046584, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.090908, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.824156, "worst_return": -0.219512, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.351351, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.256269, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.357016, "worst_return": -0.159091, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.072041, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.198934, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.307932, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.046425, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.181425, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.061813, 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6.608989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.66, "volume": 467450, "typical_volume": 81598.55, "trend": 6.688, "fair_value": 6.348974, "relative_strength": -0.898914, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.548101, "energy": 42.693577, "activity_lines": [ 6.307333, 6.400364, 6.569286, 6.606323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.24, "volume": 171996, "typical_volume": 84743.0, "trend": 6.657667, "fair_value": 6.365897, "relative_strength": -9.245172, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.639126, "energy": 34.956872, "activity_lines": [ 6.291333, 6.350364, 6.534429, 6.577419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.27, "volume": 63664, "typical_volume": 85219.35, "trend": 6.632667, "fair_value": 6.383013, "relative_strength": -9.176904, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.090095, "energy": 27.626027, "activity_lines": [ 6.29, 6.318727, 6.504381, 6.552409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }