{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0561f54c-0108-4a84-ad01-d1364b71c485",
    "symbol": "E1CL34",
    "name": "Ecolab Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 84.431,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -37.719,
    "architecture_energy": 25.504,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.953,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.859,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.52,
        "rotation_up": 21.07,
        "upward_expansion": 18.11,
        "deceleration": 61.27,
        "rotation_down": 47.24,
        "downward_expansion": 63.44
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        338.45134,
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        336.315301,
        339.939824
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 333.820007,
    "trend_reference": 346.612606,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.036907,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 323.444571,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.032078,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.330488,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.087454,
    "excess_performance": -0.030406,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036907,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015062,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032078,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018518,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.093305,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.163028,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.087454,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.203125,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.203125,
      "dry_up": 3.72093,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020614,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.213814,
      "from_high_reference": -0.102938,
      "from_low_reference": 0.050544
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 346.612606,
      "fair_value_reference": 323.444571,
      "structural_low": 317.759125,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.011886,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.100423,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.011886,
        "worst_return": -0.011886,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_return": -0.041546,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.151797,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.041546,
        "worst_return": -0.041546,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_return": -0.089938,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.089938,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.061542,
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    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "return": -4e-06,
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        "typical_volume": 1.45,
        "trend": 358.47958,
        "fair_value": 312.812632,
        "relative_strength": -20.889163,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 86.335424,
        "activity_lines": [
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          356.049097,
          357.220414
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 317.759125,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 1.3,
        "trend": 356.79642,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -96.795645,
        "energy": 78.189524,
        "activity_lines": [
          336.920482,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 317.759125,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1.15,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -96.021436,
        "energy": 97.408949,
        "activity_lines": [
          329.255939,
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          348.200426,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1.05,
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        "fair_value": 314.947998,
        "relative_strength": -21.262991,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -89.639138,
        "energy": 96.315357,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 322.749054,
        "volume": 6,
        "typical_volume": 1.25,
        "trend": 351.913273,
        "fair_value": 315.673583,
        "relative_strength": -18.388892,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.987175,
        "energy": 88.014872,
        "activity_lines": [
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          341.76718,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 322.749054,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1.15,
        "trend": 351.228,
        "fair_value": 316.397293,
        "relative_strength": -15.56617,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.937522,
        "energy": 87.830983,
        "activity_lines": [
          320.753082,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 322.749054,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1.15,
        "trend": 350.559961,
        "fair_value": 317.083821,
        "relative_strength": -16.087595,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.882148,
        "energy": 79.90879,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 338.690002,
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        "trend": 350.423287,
        "fair_value": 317.899867,
        "relative_strength": -10.135077,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.196031,
        "energy": 56.234115,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 338.690002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1.3,
        "trend": 350.286613,
        "fair_value": 318.715912,
        "relative_strength": -12.072609,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.793033,
        "energy": 38.698641,
        "activity_lines": [
          332.313623,
          328.462785,
          335.226214,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 338.690002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1.25,
        "trend": 349.662076,
        "fair_value": 319.477355,
        "relative_strength": -12.107054,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.84564,
        "energy": 46.951754,
        "activity_lines": [
          335.501812,
          330.189933,
          334.729875,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 362.970001,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 1.45,
        "trend": 350.021866,
        "fair_value": 320.39444,
        "relative_strength": -7.171255,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 19.806181,
        "energy": 45.039614,
        "activity_lines": [
          345.720605,
          336.473648,
          336.703341,
          342.55409
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 353.980011,
        "volume": 54,
        "typical_volume": 4.15,
        "trend": 349.842659,
        "fair_value": 321.253895,
        "relative_strength": -6.710393,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.728647,
        "energy": 50.625598,
        "activity_lines": [
          350.261338,
          340.823385,
          337.862423,
          342.809454
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 333.820007,
        "volume": 10,
        "typical_volume": 4.65,
        "trend": 348.584995,
        "fair_value": 321.984121,
        "relative_strength": -11.512325,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.513546,
        "energy": 30.528871,
        "activity_lines": [
          346.000006,
          340.849106,
          337.18612,
          341.775735
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 333.820007,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4.55,
        "trend": 347.511631,
        "fair_value": 322.714346,
        "relative_strength": -12.756175,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -14.067501,
        "energy": 24.076082,
        "activity_lines": [
          342.06334,
          340.582811,
          336.690432,
          340.823155
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 333.820007,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4.3,
        "trend": 346.612606,
        "fair_value": 323.444571,
        "relative_strength": -9.330488,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.719025,
        "energy": 25.503624,
        "activity_lines": [
          338.45134,
          340.024499,
          336.315301,
          339.939824
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}