{ "ticker": { "uuid": "057471f2-1cd2-495d-aa26-f3c7e6d249ab", "symbol": "ANDHRAPAP", "name": "Andhra Paper Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.829, "architecture_energy": 54.38, "architecture_maturity": 20.766, "architecture_confidence": 89.365, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.08, "rotation_up": 13.99, "upward_expansion": 10.44, "deceleration": 40.39, "rotation_down": 67.42, "downward_expansion": 88.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.401736, 61.081926, 62.299885, 62.863302 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 59.849998, "trend_reference": 63.641266, "distance_from_trend": -0.059572, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 87.170558, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.313415, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.079695, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.08304, "excess_performance": -0.039331, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.059572, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034099, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 58.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.02434, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": 0.004062, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.455153, "worst_return": -0.115796, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.024478, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.00895, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.298317, "worst_return": -0.148382, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.076957, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.103229, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.351296, "worst_return": -0.169381, "sufficient": true }, 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"2026-07-17", "close": 60.279842, "volume": 145837, "typical_volume": 592208.65, "trend": 64.209164, "fair_value": 87.540719, "relative_strength": -10.765099, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.812065, "energy": 47.073031, "activity_lines": [ 61.612926, 62.024154, 63.056894, 63.559284 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.835323, "volume": 2374172, "typical_volume": 695775.1, "trend": 64.016008, "fair_value": 87.42569, "relative_strength": -7.465285, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.65004, "energy": 50.767328, "activity_lines": [ 61.175705, 61.719396, 62.827663, 63.341616 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.537741, "volume": 1102341, "typical_volume": 709970.65, "trend": 63.785599, "fair_value": 87.299458, "relative_strength": -9.799522, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.779823, "energy": 52.499239, "activity_lines": [ 60.800936, 61.438981, 62.593971, 63.117212 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.849998, "volume": 1612207, "typical_volume": 702382.3, "trend": 63.641266, "fair_value": 87.170558, "relative_strength": -11.079695, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.829445, "energy": 54.379985, "activity_lines": [ 60.401736, 61.081926, 62.299885, 62.863302 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }