{ "ticker": { "uuid": "058706d2-26b2-4ccc-8d71-0110c71f28ee", "symbol": "RICO", "name": "Ricoh Company, Ltd.", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.254, "architecture_energy": 88.429, "architecture_maturity": 32.407, "architecture_confidence": 81.99, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.83, "rotation_up": 80.77, "upward_expansion": 97.32, "deceleration": 41.85, "rotation_down": 8.82, "downward_expansion": 21.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 1557.433333, 1518.254545, 1475.97619, 1448.180503 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1572.0, "trend_reference": 1422.510189, "distance_from_trend": 0.105089, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1357.49545, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.158015, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.955786, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.115137, "excess_performance": 0.063901, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.105089, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035349, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.158015, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146024, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.049558, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111778, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.115137, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 96.008936, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2000, "relative_activity": 0.064501, "balance": 96.008936, "dry_up": 0.413091, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032296, "annualized_volatility": 0.220582, "from_high_reference": -0.043505, "from_low_reference": 0.245279 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1422.510189, "fair_value_reference": 1357.49545, "structural_low": 1299.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.003897, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.019242, "regime_survival": 0.68, "best_return": 0.126497, "worst_return": -0.074795, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.012724, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.021054, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.209057, "worst_return": -0.177295, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.045341, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.055581, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.199024, "worst_return": -0.051037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": 71.031182, "energy": 45.264133, "activity_lines": [ 1471.033333, 1464.945455, 1430.971524, 1416.699739 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1561.5, "volume": 9786, "typical_volume": 52743.8, "trend": 1407.85922, "fair_value": 1351.662314, "relative_strength": 5.892757, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.511718, "energy": 77.434692, "activity_lines": [ 1504.1, 1483.427273, 1446.156087, 1427.002092 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1579.5, "volume": 32721, "typical_volume": 33427.1, "trend": 1415.375403, "fair_value": 1354.601826, "relative_strength": 5.812082, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.918387, "energy": 88.369354, "activity_lines": [ 1537.533333, 1502.636364, 1462.005905, 1438.07569 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1572.0, "volume": 2000, "typical_volume": 31007.1, "trend": 1422.510189, "fair_value": 1357.49545, "relative_strength": 4.955786, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.253689, "energy": 88.429219, "activity_lines": [ 1557.433333, 1518.254545, 1475.97619, 1448.180503 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }