{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0589817d-c28d-441f-bbf2-b4d27f9caf4e", "symbol": "2478", "name": "TA-I Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 5.381, "architecture_energy": 21.524, "architecture_maturity": 71.259, "architecture_confidence": 70.672, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.09, "rotation_up": 15.48, "upward_expansion": 41.85, "deceleration": 87.73, "rotation_down": 42.39, "downward_expansion": 33.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 121.333333, 138.631039, 144.020432, 128.858588 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 123.5, "trend_reference": 108.745026, "distance_from_trend": 0.135684, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 58.325567, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.117425, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 14.390474, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.0953, "excess_performance": 0.749568, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.135684, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.438954, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.117425, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.473116, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.143905, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.369724, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.0953, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.368814, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43624497, "relative_activity": 1.344765, "balance": 3.368814, "dry_up": 1.232006, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.299293, "annualized_volatility": 1.13856, "from_high_reference": -0.507377, "from_low_reference": 2.023726 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 108.745026, "fair_value_reference": 58.325567, "structural_low": 56.073478, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.001969, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.038503, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.259392, "worst_return": -0.153409, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.036888, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.108824, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.089445, "worst_return": -0.039715, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.095285, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.040905, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.899821, "worst_return": -0.081466, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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123.833333, 153.291109, 144.03603, 126.289681 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 128.0, "volume": 65578265, "typical_volume": 30428666.15, "trend": 106.949096, "fair_value": 57.799016, "relative_strength": 17.98239, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.712778, "energy": 27.047938, "activity_lines": [ 121.8, 146.185233, 144.403881, 127.790787 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 123.5, "volume": 43624497, "typical_volume": 32440234.65, "trend": 108.745026, "fair_value": 58.325567, "relative_strength": 14.390474, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.380873, "energy": 21.523883, "activity_lines": [ 121.333333, 138.631039, 144.020432, 128.858588 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }