{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "05901dfe-088d-474f-956c-20a21a50fa97",
    "symbol": "5258",
    "name": "Castles Technology Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -36.074,
    "architecture_energy": 14.514,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.554,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.882,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.83,
        "rotation_up": 24.14,
        "upward_expansion": 17.92,
        "deceleration": 46.91,
        "rotation_down": 36.14,
        "downward_expansion": 56.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        50.499998,
        50.769999,
        50.917618,
        50.698924
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 48.099998,
    "trend_reference": 51.396667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.064142,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 86.466467,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.443715,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -45.039829,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.115809,
    "excess_performance": -0.557181,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064142,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.10164,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.443715,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038008,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.450398,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009564,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.115809,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.051802,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3161411,
      "relative_activity": 0.739967,
      "balance": 1.051802,
      "dry_up": 0.605996,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.112906,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.446461,
      "from_high_reference": -0.41697,
      "from_low_reference": 0.098173
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.396667,
      "fair_value_reference": 86.466467,
      "structural_low": 43.799999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.016277,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02216,
        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
        "best_return": 0.69697,
        "worst_return": -0.251163,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.047205,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.05704,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.928085,
        "worst_return": -0.338134,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.16437,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.224493,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.361454,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.412637,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.108014,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008065,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.050218,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014084,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.024088,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.013387,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.111614,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 2139507,
        "typical_volume": 4382160.85,
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        "fair_value": 87.666774,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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          51.509999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 51.599998,
        "volume": 2570812,
        "typical_volume": 4248927.3,
        "trend": 52.373333,
        "fair_value": 87.235046,
        "relative_strength": -39.601121,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 5.448309,
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          51.759998,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 51.799999,
        "volume": 2484417,
        "typical_volume": 4227308.4,
        "trend": 51.89,
        "fair_value": 86.832226,
        "relative_strength": -39.849723,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -1.201662,
        "energy": 3.269089,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.739999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 48.099998,
        "volume": 3161411,
        "typical_volume": 4272366.15,
        "trend": 51.396667,
        "fair_value": 86.466467,
        "relative_strength": -45.039829,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.073782,
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          50.499998,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}