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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.754, "architecture_energy": 59.4, "architecture_maturity": 16.276, "architecture_confidence": 83.189, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.37, "rotation_up": 63.72, "upward_expansion": 84.26, "deceleration": 51.17, "rotation_down": 16.45, "downward_expansion": 10.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.08, 44.324727, 43.215951, 41.787669 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 44.200001, "trend_reference": 40.056379, "distance_from_trend": 0.103445, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.826949, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.346455, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.645472, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.116815, "excess_performance": -0.003606, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.103445, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041197, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.346455, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025066, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.016455, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032753, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.116815, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.913693, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1197100, "relative_activity": 1.544376, "balance": 1.913693, "dry_up": 1.28555, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055969, "annualized_volatility": 0.274408, "from_high_reference": -0.08866, "from_low_reference": 0.373546 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.056379, "fair_value_reference": 32.826949, "structural_low": 34.868121, 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38.08832, "fair_value": 31.560906, "relative_strength": 7.967379, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 57.373116, "energy": 75.798518, "activity_lines": [ 40.884246, 39.256631, 38.140764, 38.051146 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 43.73, "volume": 395100, "typical_volume": 976725.0, "trend": 38.288524, "fair_value": 31.676107, "relative_strength": 8.665443, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.777779, "energy": 90.93022, "activity_lines": [ 42.083884, 40.293337, 38.721471, 38.415125 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 44.189999, "volume": 524000, "typical_volume": 950075.0, "trend": 38.471486, "fair_value": 31.789164, "relative_strength": 8.581846, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.814635, "energy": 92.949442, "activity_lines": [ 43.083846, 41.265269, 39.321933, 38.795866 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 43.580002, "volume": 71800, "typical_volume": 923195.0, "trend": 38.644752, "fair_value": 31.898373, "relative_strength": 7.919487, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.330458, "energy": 88.354959, "activity_lines": [ 43.4968, 41.966795, 39.830022, 39.125447 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 41.189999, "volume": 136600, "typical_volume": 875915.0, "trend": 38.720484, "fair_value": 31.988615, "relative_strength": 0.290865, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.50782, "energy": 75.493747, "activity_lines": [ 42.854667, 42.084278, 40.076314, 39.289657 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 42.189999, "volume": 9000, "typical_volume": 782330.0, "trend": 38.832544, "fair_value": 32.083569, "relative_strength": 2.446563, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.92741, "energy": 54.264119, "activity_lines": [ 42.570666, 42.294976, 40.389914, 39.513496 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 40.02, "volume": 206000, "typical_volume": 717335.0, "trend": 38.84399, "fair_value": 32.157822, "relative_strength": -2.943312, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.616055, "energy": 30.879134, "activity_lines": [ 41.585333, 42.01615, 40.471713, 39.590106 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 43.139999, "volume": 26100, "typical_volume": 668270.0, "trend": 38.954112, "fair_value": 32.255156, "relative_strength": 3.667456, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.108475, "energy": 29.765051, "activity_lines": [ 41.887333, 42.275776, 40.848544, 39.867268 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 44.540001, "volume": 490300, "typical_volume": 668695.0, "trend": 39.113562, "fair_value": 32.36159, "relative_strength": 6.618666, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.238985, "energy": 45.752388, "activity_lines": [ 42.726, 42.7044, 41.326693, 40.227648 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 47.02, "volume": 589400, "typical_volume": 668335.0, "trend": 39.377639, "fair_value": 32.482727, "relative_strength": 12.283869, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.61172, "energy": 60.576138, "activity_lines": [ 44.327333, 43.496, 42.008583, 40.737741 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.02, "volume": 571100, "typical_volume": 671785.0, "trend": 39.642381, "fair_value": 32.60028, "relative_strength": 11.572507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.735207, "energy": 85.260891, "activity_lines": [ 45.54, 44.188364, 42.64607, 41.230797 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 43.889999, "volume": 1628300, "typical_volume": 735775.0, "trend": 39.816098, "fair_value": 32.710722, "relative_strength": 4.288435, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.366846, "energy": 71.596969, "activity_lines": [ 45.387333, 44.229818, 42.936064, 41.504836 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.200001, "volume": 1197100, "typical_volume": 775135.0, "trend": 40.056379, "fair_value": 32.826949, "relative_strength": 1.645472, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.754477, "energy": 59.399976, "activity_lines": [ 45.08, 44.324727, 43.215951, 41.787669 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }