{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05a5355f-fe54-47d5-bcf8-f9b1ae9042e6", "symbol": "2010", "name": "Saudi Basic Industries Corporation", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.977, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -70.572, "architecture_energy": 76.309, "architecture_maturity": 9.348, "architecture_confidence": 93.051, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.39, "rotation_up": 15.31, "upward_expansion": 17.83, "deceleration": 39.09, "rotation_down": 67.88, "downward_expansion": 91.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.08, 51.845454, 54.136667, 55.073534 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 50.549999, "trend_reference": 55.662588, "distance_from_trend": -0.09185, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 62.764556, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.194609, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.268676, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.065715, "excess_performance": -0.033885, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.09185, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001463, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.194609, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.115708, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.082687, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15153, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.065715, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.462832, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8992923, "relative_activity": 1.061321, "balance": 0.462832, "dry_up": 0.873082, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04063, "annualized_volatility": 0.245378, "from_high_reference": -0.1912, "from_low_reference": 0.075785 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.662588, "fair_value_reference": 62.764556, "structural_low": 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"energy": 72.627226, "activity_lines": [ 52.516666, 54.16, 56.148139, 56.167565 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 52.400002, "volume": 5803155, "typical_volume": 8992943.6, "trend": 55.5799, "fair_value": 63.227432, "relative_strength": -4.005982, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.867747, "energy": 67.896264, "activity_lines": [ 52.256667, 53.564546, 55.730288, 55.964508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 52.900002, "volume": 5908828, "typical_volume": 8723553.35, "trend": 55.648576, "fair_value": 63.073881, "relative_strength": -3.812307, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.003119, "energy": 63.048183, "activity_lines": [ 52.356668, 53.19091, 55.362143, 55.791611 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.599998, "volume": 8886742, "typical_volume": 8174114.7, "trend": 55.631625, "fair_value": 62.922583, "relative_strength": -7.981014, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.336914, "energy": 83.715338, "activity_lines": [ 51.443333, 52.362727, 54.684524, 55.401381 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.549999, "volume": 8992923, "typical_volume": 8473326.2, "trend": 55.662588, "fair_value": 62.764556, "relative_strength": -8.268676, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.571599, "energy": 76.308926, "activity_lines": [ 51.08, 51.845454, 54.136667, 55.073534 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }