{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05ae0494-70f4-425c-a01b-01ed4cafbc57", "symbol": "RSPG", "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR S&P 500 EQL WGT ENERGY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 74.813, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.907, "architecture_energy": 36.358, "architecture_maturity": 7.595, "architecture_confidence": 65.667, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.46, "rotation_up": 62.42, "upward_expansion": 73.39, "deceleration": 63.27, "rotation_down": 12.16, "downward_expansion": 4.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 104.886, 103.028923, 102.965521, 102.738957 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 102.845, "trend_reference": 100.818945, "distance_from_trend": 0.020096, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 79.945, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286447, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.746031, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.106962, "excess_performance": -0.018663, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020096, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077753, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.286447, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02738, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00746, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063448, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.106962, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.333214, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 717963, "relative_activity": 1.235103, "balance": 1.333214, "dry_up": 0.81549, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047725, "annualized_volatility": 0.268601, "from_high_reference": -0.09793, "from_low_reference": 0.428682 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 100.818945, "fair_value_reference": 79.945, "structural_low": 92.240582, 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12.815397, "activity_lines": [ 100.771468, 101.08947, 102.328884, 101.492012 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 107.31, "volume": 360771, "typical_volume": 604077.05, "trend": 99.255927, "fair_value": 79.519618, "relative_strength": 10.676881, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.383296, "energy": 25.222165, "activity_lines": [ 103.345, 102.036699, 102.725459, 102.073948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 106.84, "volume": 349553, "typical_volume": 581288.0, "trend": 100.121437, "fair_value": 79.752707, "relative_strength": 8.614419, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.366565, "energy": 34.938254, "activity_lines": [ 105.057333, 102.890776, 103.04646, 102.563243 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 102.845, "volume": 717963, "typical_volume": 581298.2, "trend": 100.818945, "fair_value": 79.945, "relative_strength": 0.746031, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.906625, "energy": 36.357724, "activity_lines": [ 104.886, 103.028923, 102.965521, 102.738957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }