{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "05b619f7-bedf-4c8f-8c54-e0ba23432ae4",
    "symbol": "AAXJ",
    "name": "iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 5.061,
    "architecture_energy": 22.658,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.388,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.918,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 58.45,
        "rotation_up": 15.27,
        "upward_expansion": 41.8,
        "deceleration": 87.97,
        "rotation_down": 46.25,
        "downward_expansion": 35.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1933.383325,
        1968.39051,
        1976.34632,
        1937.306322
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1963.099976,
    "trend_reference": 1883.342375,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.042349,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1474.621564,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.331257,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.473161,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.122413,
    "excess_performance": 0.17708,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042349,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059186,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.331257,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089408,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074732,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00163,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.122413,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.584602,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 974,
      "relative_activity": 0.643499,
      "balance": 1.584602,
      "dry_up": 0.520448,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.036132,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.22297,
      "from_high_reference": -0.082389,
      "from_low_reference": 0.255161
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1883.342375,
      "fair_value_reference": 1474.621564,
      "structural_low": 1681.540039,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 4.7e-05,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003471,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.108194,
        "worst_return": -0.027356,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.03387,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031741,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.201409,
        "worst_return": -0.037845,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.005257,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.10389,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.21984,
        "worst_return": -0.0943,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.027302,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.123904,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.102766,
        "worst_return": -0.048162,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.000893,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.03387,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.010477,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016057,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.054111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013907,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007461,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "fair_value": 1469.155438,
        "relative_strength": 4.361495,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "volume": 974,
        "typical_volume": 1513.6,
        "trend": 1883.342375,
        "fair_value": 1474.621564,
        "relative_strength": 7.473161,
        "stage": 2,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}