{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05b85382-cfaa-4ec6-b54c-80a57ce58308", "symbol": "AFIL", "name": "AKME FINTRADE (INDIA) LTD", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 7.655, "architecture_energy": 18.635, "architecture_maturity": 67.968, "architecture_confidence": 73.841, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.79, "rotation_up": 15.99, "upward_expansion": 41.55, "deceleration": 87.91, "rotation_down": 37.21, "downward_expansion": 30.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.266667, 9.607273, 9.646857, 9.23157 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 9.12, "trend_reference": 8.389333, "distance_from_trend": 0.087095, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.476973, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.075856, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 14.122969, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.682657, "excess_performance": 0.726366, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087095, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.13252, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.075856, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041579, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.14123, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145426, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.682657, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.574641, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1972048, "relative_activity": 0.480863, "balance": 1.574641, "dry_up": 0.761576, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081393, "annualized_volatility": 0.516757, "from_high_reference": -0.170909, "from_low_reference": 1.326531 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.389333, "fair_value_reference": 8.476973, "structural_low": 4.91, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.208723, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.059032, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.051397, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.009772, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 12.034, "volume": 50446480, "typical_volume": null, 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.668105, "energy": 25.691865, "activity_lines": [ 9.409333, 9.764, 9.675333, 9.17757 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.12, "volume": 1972048, "typical_volume": 4101061.65, "trend": 8.389333, "fair_value": 8.476973, "relative_strength": 14.122969, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.654881, "energy": 18.634641, "activity_lines": [ 9.266667, 9.607273, 9.646857, 9.23157 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }