{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05c4eea4-cef7-49c2-b446-aae5f42ba1d5", "symbol": "XZMU", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA ESG UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.669, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.304, "architecture_energy": 57.596, "architecture_maturity": 32.459, "architecture_confidence": 82.325, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.93, "rotation_up": 55.92, "upward_expansion": 81.54, "deceleration": 63.46, "rotation_down": 26.43, "downward_expansion": 8.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 81.289, 80.780091, 80.122285, 78.590279 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 84.290001, "trend_reference": 77.038166, "distance_from_trend": 0.094133, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 63.936746, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.318334, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.149891, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.124616, "excess_performance": 0.073381, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094133, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025997, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.318334, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008984, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.031499, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017267, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.124616, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.089834, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47349, "relative_activity": 0.23875, "balance": 4.089834, "dry_up": 0.617866, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02128, "annualized_volatility": 0.155062, "from_high_reference": -0.002131, "from_low_reference": 0.2445 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 77.038166, "fair_value_reference": 63.936746, "structural_low": 67.730003, "invalidation": "A 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63.48822, "relative_strength": -1.901191, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.890623, "energy": 38.297343, "activity_lines": [ 79.855, 80.085454, 79.240785, 77.881333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 80.114998, "volume": 25841, "typical_volume": 202420.95, "trend": 76.7875, "fair_value": 63.69665, "relative_strength": -1.623558, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.892547, "energy": 34.074414, "activity_lines": [ 79.905999, 80.047909, 79.503476, 78.106247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.290001, "volume": 47349, "typical_volume": 198320.35, "trend": 77.038166, "fair_value": 63.936746, "relative_strength": 3.149891, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.304252, "energy": 57.596398, "activity_lines": [ 81.289, 80.780091, 80.122285, 78.590279 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }