{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05d0ddb3-9d5a-4665-84a4-b99dbf307270", "symbol": "SOMANYCERA", "name": "Somany Ceramics Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 60.419, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.363, "architecture_energy": 19.658, "architecture_maturity": 60.406, "architecture_confidence": 95.961, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.52, "rotation_up": 23.61, "upward_expansion": 55.5, "deceleration": 90.89, "rotation_down": 27.85, "downward_expansion": 19.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 497.742579, 506.557177, 498.876614, 477.209988 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 495.799988, "trend_reference": 449.890846, "distance_from_trend": 0.102045, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 564.358731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.121481, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.368716, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.251023, "excess_performance": 0.294732, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.102045, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072406, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.121481, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056694, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.113687, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025922, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.251023, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.10508, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 407394, "relative_activity": 0.776899, "balance": 5.10508, "dry_up": 0.705743, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077442, "annualized_volatility": 0.380453, "from_high_reference": -0.102543, "from_low_reference": 0.506126 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 449.890846, "fair_value_reference": 564.358731, "structural_low": 329.188838, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.036707, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.048145, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.027842, "worst_return": -0.114759, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.064348, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.087681, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.044842, "worst_return": -0.155719, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.234526, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.27977, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.090795, "worst_return": -0.312911, "sufficient": false }, { 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"relative_strength": 14.602581, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.706257, "energy": 38.747895, "activity_lines": [ 512.836609, 514.407036, 495.010539, 471.372856 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 486.083665, "volume": 346244, "typical_volume": 517889.55, "trend": 447.13161, "fair_value": 565.39035, "relative_strength": 9.898712, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.783579, "energy": 25.333741, "activity_lines": [ 502.741328, 509.205928, 496.787407, 474.070092 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 495.799988, "volume": 407394, "typical_volume": 524384.5, "trend": 449.890846, "fair_value": 564.358731, "relative_strength": 11.368716, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.36334, "energy": 19.657994, "activity_lines": [ 497.742579, 506.557177, 498.876614, 477.209988 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }