{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05ddf304-8e9a-4c0e-a3eb-34be695759ca", "symbol": "301087", "name": "Cofoe Medical Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 66.197, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -3.9, "architecture_energy": 20.123, "architecture_maturity": 15.364, "architecture_confidence": 67.799, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.48, "rotation_up": 44.48, "upward_expansion": 40.11, "deceleration": 40.76, "rotation_down": 15.32, "downward_expansion": 37.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.862, 50.135272, 49.66811, 50.817403 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 51.549999, "trend_reference": 52.211214, "distance_from_trend": -0.012664, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.464229, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.375979, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.673458, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.001101, "excess_performance": -0.008501, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.012664, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03658, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.375979, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017886, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.056735, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102992, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.001101, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.397839, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10761344, "relative_activity": 1.012993, "balance": 0.397839, "dry_up": 1.317513, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074744, "annualized_volatility": 0.378175, "from_high_reference": -0.177341, "from_low_reference": 0.437928 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.211214, "fair_value_reference": 37.464229, "structural_low": 43.09, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.015029, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.017768, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.138493, "worst_return": -0.090705, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.03992, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.052083, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.186651, "worst_return": -0.155305, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.079046, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.019497, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.081469, "worst_return": 0.076623, "sufficient": false }, { 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"energy": 42.318702, "activity_lines": [ 46.764, 47.047455, 49.786224, 50.917549 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 48.669998, "volume": 11579166, "typical_volume": 11249976.7, "trend": 51.207686, "fair_value": 37.197552, "relative_strength": -4.053969, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.996009, "energy": 29.690391, "activity_lines": [ 47.563333, 47.180545, 49.467071, 50.765454 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 48.16, "volume": 13607942, "typical_volume": 11405592.85, "trend": 51.340544, "fair_value": 37.226358, "relative_strength": 4.044376, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.671177, "energy": 21.701708, "activity_lines": [ 48.065999, 47.3, 49.129885, 50.568829 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 53.73, "volume": 18469955, "typical_volume": 11404039.85, "trend": 51.635566, "fair_value": 37.307334, "relative_strength": 15.057198, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.225276, "energy": 19.543099, "activity_lines": [ 50.214666, 48.468363, 49.363138, 50.722987 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.5, "volume": 13146154, "typical_volume": 10887226.25, "trend": 51.950994, "fair_value": 37.388483, "relative_strength": 15.73646, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.496104, "energy": 19.650106, "activity_lines": [ 51.698, 49.535454, 49.593986, 50.843273 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.549999, "volume": 10761344, "typical_volume": 10623310.4, "trend": 52.211214, "fair_value": 37.464229, "relative_strength": 5.673458, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.899985, "energy": 20.123237, "activity_lines": [ 51.862, 50.135272, 49.66811, 50.817403 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }