{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05e0f0bf-a2e9-4c7a-83ce-5966c0d5161e", "symbol": "EIHOTEL", "name": "EIH Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -5.801, "architecture_energy": 7.268, "architecture_maturity": 20.331, "architecture_confidence": 77.392, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.35, "rotation_up": 34.5, "upward_expansion": 33.89, "deceleration": 39.55, "rotation_down": 29.9, "downward_expansion": 20.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 321.695091, 322.583012, 318.854263, 317.720483 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 306.549988, "trend_reference": 318.641431, "distance_from_trend": -0.037947, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 354.571976, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.135437, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.611098, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.119236, "excess_performance": -0.075527, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037947, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052588, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.135437, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106184, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.106111, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074301, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.119236, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.263612, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1717881, "relative_activity": 0.640542, "balance": 1.263612, "dry_up": 0.376315, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062419, "annualized_volatility": 0.317171, "from_high_reference": -0.294963, "from_low_reference": 0.130555 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 318.641431, "fair_value_reference": 354.571976, "structural_low": 271.149994, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.156376, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.130636, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.241039, "worst_return": -0.077568, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.134827, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.05469, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.214403, "worst_return": -0.140426, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.13022, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.121273, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.206652, "worst_return": -0.128632, "sufficient": false 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"fair_value": 353.169418, "relative_strength": -2.582408, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.123637, "energy": 42.810583, "activity_lines": [ 329.272469, 322.430034, 318.380865, 318.100239 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 328.799988, "volume": 681185, "typical_volume": 2644422.3, "trend": 319.976431, "fair_value": 353.944081, "relative_strength": -3.669442, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.865834, "energy": 38.149656, "activity_lines": [ 329.319603, 324.620159, 319.703278, 318.586705 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 306.549988, "volume": 1717881, "typical_volume": 2681917.2, "trend": 318.641431, "fair_value": 354.571976, "relative_strength": -10.611098, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.801055, "energy": 7.268165, "activity_lines": [ 321.695091, 322.583012, 318.854263, 317.720483 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }