{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05ee2f8a-320d-4ea7-9776-d7eb92d8e433", "symbol": "TFPM", "name": "Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 52.163, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -28.435, "architecture_energy": 21.581, "architecture_maturity": 37.786, "architecture_confidence": 68.514, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.87, "rotation_up": 25.28, "upward_expansion": 11.49, "deceleration": 60.08, "rotation_down": 37.31, "downward_expansion": 68.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.835334, 41.676364, 42.429477, 43.79286 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 45.43, "trend_reference": 45.71168, "distance_from_trend": -0.006162, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.63742, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.532859, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.453511, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.027306, "excess_performance": -0.147727, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006162, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026964, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.532859, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116792, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.084535, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065363, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.027306, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.898788, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 864600, "relative_activity": 1.159587, "balance": 0.898788, "dry_up": 1.070097, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08058, "annualized_volatility": 0.525261, "from_high_reference": -0.206601, "from_low_reference": 0.329841 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.71168, "fair_value_reference": 29.63742, 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29.154888, "relative_strength": -20.421758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.461787, "energy": 44.895119, "activity_lines": [ 40.820668, 41.315455, 42.944429, 44.525351 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.950001, "volume": 718400, "typical_volume": 800405.0, "trend": 45.978021, "fair_value": 29.306785, "relative_strength": -15.215672, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.326986, "energy": 39.248956, "activity_lines": [ 40.650668, 41.155092, 42.600762, 44.186566 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.27, "volume": 872200, "typical_volume": 794745.0, "trend": 45.824426, "fair_value": 29.458976, "relative_strength": -16.25429, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.04552, "energy": 52.341676, "activity_lines": [ 40.314001, 40.926182, 42.248048, 43.818307 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.43, "volume": 864600, "typical_volume": 745610.0, "trend": 45.71168, "fair_value": 29.63742, "relative_strength": -8.453511, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.434873, "energy": 21.580561, "activity_lines": [ 41.835334, 41.676364, 42.429477, 43.79286 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }