{ "ticker": { "uuid": "05f0e9cf-b7c8-468f-91ca-10f5e9a65c0a", "symbol": "5530", "name": "Lungyen Life Service Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 75.257, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 25.332, "architecture_energy": 11.109, "architecture_maturity": 25.911, "architecture_confidence": 46.346, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.3, "rotation_up": 32.8, "upward_expansion": 32.63, "deceleration": 63.48, "rotation_down": 34.46, "downward_expansion": 20.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.736667, 48.701819, 48.272619, 48.101398 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 50.799999, "trend_reference": 48.555, "distance_from_trend": 0.046236, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 49.902564, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.017984, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.547155, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.007936, "excess_performance": -0.433436, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.046236, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004898, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.017984, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035149, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.285472, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122662, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.007936, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.575828, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2548622, "relative_activity": 0.7179, "balance": 0.575828, "dry_up": 0.502613, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071018, "annualized_volatility": 0.269409, "from_high_reference": -0.137521, "from_low_reference": 0.170507 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.555, "fair_value_reference": 49.902564, "structural_low": 43.400002, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.003841, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.015675, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 0.066798, "worst_return": -0.055728, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.031788, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.021343, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.275049, "worst_return": -0.091814, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.007936, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.146804, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.218075, "worst_return": -0.130589, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.047151, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.144214, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.107285, "worst_return": -0.110079, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.037794, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.036145, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.093981, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.045187, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.050179, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.040493, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.089457, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.143251, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.042276, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": 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decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.783755, "energy": 3.480187, "activity_lines": [ 48.78, 48.828182, 47.832381, 48.075592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 48.650002, "volume": 1777123, "typical_volume": 3568140.85, "trend": 48.445, "fair_value": 49.670192, "relative_strength": -31.840025, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -1.760905, "energy": 4.996236, "activity_lines": [ 48.746667, 48.837274, 47.941905, 48.089893 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.400002, "volume": 2035085, "typical_volume": 3550190.5, "trend": 48.441667, "fair_value": 49.739743, "relative_strength": -31.546769, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.093348, "energy": 5.046395, "activity_lines": [ 48.346668, 48.609092, 47.944524, 48.022474 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.299999, "volume": 776492, "typical_volume": 3488186.05, "trend": 48.435, "fair_value": 49.811218, "relative_strength": -32.213745, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.443583, "energy": 15.124768, "activity_lines": [ 47.896667, 48.345455, 47.94262, 47.948818 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 50.799999, "volume": 2548622, "typical_volume": 3550108.65, "trend": 48.555, "fair_value": 49.902564, "relative_strength": -28.547155, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.33245, "energy": 11.108752, "activity_lines": [ 48.736667, 48.701819, 48.272619, 48.101398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }