{ "ticker": { "uuid": "06025d6b-8986-4710-ab23-ae165392eef3", "symbol": "300420", "name": "Jiangsu Wuyang Automation Control Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.481, "architecture_energy": 28.706, "architecture_maturity": 77.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.659, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.37, "rotation_up": 28.98, "upward_expansion": 58.65, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 33.49, "downward_expansion": 22.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.954667, 7.441589, 6.563823, 5.88416 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.24, "trend_reference": 5.155106, "distance_from_trend": 0.598415, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.50293, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.352317, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 70.637627, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.009756, "excess_performance": 1.002356, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.598415, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.282699, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.352317, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.186884, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.706376, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.92623, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.009756, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.132535, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 798475376, "relative_activity": 2.361485, "balance": 1.132535, "dry_up": 1.954709, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.206971, "annualized_volatility": 0.965071, "from_high_reference": -0.20693, "from_low_reference": 1.409357 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.155106, "fair_value_reference": 3.50293, "structural_low": 3.42, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.003961, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.003824, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.245353, "worst_return": -0.182371, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.027027, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.022042, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.115942, "worst_return": -0.067164, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.083013, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.061256, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.137682, "worst_return": -0.179104, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.232123, 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"2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.077612, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.116992, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.02381, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.152542, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.012285, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.074813, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", 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7.5, 7.469804, 6.270663, 5.631271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.65, "volume": 606715846, "typical_volume": 304704606.75, "trend": 5.013439, "fair_value": 3.469986, "relative_strength": 25.054063, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.775793, "energy": 25.880956, "activity_lines": [ 6.661333, 7.230295, 6.297695, 5.675995 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.24, "volume": 798475376, "typical_volume": 338124200.25, "trend": 5.155106, "fair_value": 3.50293, "relative_strength": 70.637627, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.480669, "energy": 28.705581, "activity_lines": [ 6.954667, 7.441589, 6.563823, 5.88416 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }