{ "ticker": { "uuid": "06256357-6368-4f9e-bb16-78c734052d1c", "symbol": "RFAI", "name": "RF Acquisition Corp II Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 61.781, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.785, "architecture_energy": 60.88, "architecture_maturity": 93.706, "architecture_confidence": 65.512, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.11, "rotation_up": 65.88, "upward_expansion": 86.07, "deceleration": 65.83, "rotation_down": 19.65, "downward_expansion": 10.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.066673, 11.053102, 11.019011, 10.986353 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 11.06, "trend_reference": 10.936007, "distance_from_trend": 0.011338, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.548728, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.048468, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.892762, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.024074, "excess_performance": -0.16338, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.011338, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008484, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.048468, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006032, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.108928, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044728, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.024074, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.425685, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 655825, "relative_activity": 6.114536, "balance": 0.425685, "dry_up": 2.248151, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.003807, "annualized_volatility": 0.015852, "from_high_reference": -0.032794, "from_low_reference": 0.045369 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.936007, "fair_value_reference": 10.548728, "structural_low": 10.8, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.004533, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.020868, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.00641, "worst_return": -0.017288, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.002294, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.079521, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.008228, "worst_return": -0.00364, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.004559, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.154644, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.004559, "worst_return": 0.004559, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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-12.507119, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.805974, "energy": 92.43231, "activity_lines": [ 11.029367, 11.013475, 10.979253, 10.946936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.07, "volume": 12158, "typical_volume": 61277.1, "trend": 10.911673, "fair_value": 10.534113, "relative_strength": -8.163221, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.694126, "energy": 96.846288, "activity_lines": [ 11.04536, 11.027107, 10.99068, 10.95786 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.08, "volume": 270070, "typical_volume": 74590.65, "trend": 10.923007, "fair_value": 10.539168, "relative_strength": -6.325335, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.721351, "energy": 96.09765, "activity_lines": [ 11.059353, 11.040015, 11.00206, 10.96872 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.07, "volume": 26464, "typical_volume": 75283.15, "trend": 10.933673, "fair_value": 10.544038, "relative_strength": -6.603066, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.685238, "energy": 90.16289, "activity_lines": [ 11.066013, 11.048195, 11.011393, 10.978203 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.06, "volume": 655825, "typical_volume": 107256.7, "trend": 10.936007, "fair_value": 10.548728, "relative_strength": -10.892762, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.785142, "energy": 60.879865, "activity_lines": [ 11.066673, 11.053102, 11.019011, 10.986353 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }