{ "ticker": { "uuid": "06293ddc-3b54-4d42-8595-abd093563611", "symbol": "MCO", "name": "Myeco Group Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.104, "architecture_energy": 35.985, "architecture_maturity": 40.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.95, "rotation_up": 56.2, "upward_expansion": 80.59, "deceleration": 50.19, "rotation_down": 16.51, "downward_expansion": 4.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.020933, 0.019618, 0.01851, 0.017295 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.022, "trend_reference": 0.0164, "distance_from_trend": 0.341463, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.024792, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.112605, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 34.283036, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.294118, "excess_performance": 0.230412, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.341463, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.133641, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.112605, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.523886, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.34283, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.629255, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.294118, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 40.843282, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 965076, "relative_activity": 0.270765, "balance": 40.843282, "dry_up": 0.948405, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.356643, "annualized_volatility": 1.218829, "from_high_reference": -0.47619, "from_low_reference": 1.2 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0164, "fair_value_reference": 0.024792, "structural_low": 0.01, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.066854, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.062089, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.3125, "worst_return": -0.272727, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.239216, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.2366, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.066667, "worst_return": -0.411765, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.122059, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.117564, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.294118, "worst_return": -0.05, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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0.0174, 0.018345, 0.016619, 0.016004 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.02, "volume": 10735414, "typical_volume": 3483265.95, "trend": 0.0156, "fair_value": 0.02551, "relative_strength": 31.162767, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.331512, "energy": 16.60634, "activity_lines": [ 0.018267, 0.018691, 0.017067, 0.016303 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.02, "volume": 436826, "typical_volume": 3479551.85, "trend": 0.015867, "fair_value": 0.025304, "relative_strength": 30.731089, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.386779, "energy": 24.693039, "activity_lines": [ 0.019133, 0.018855, 0.017486, 0.016587 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.021, "volume": 1384143, "typical_volume": 3529858.05, "trend": 0.016167, "fair_value": 0.025042, "relative_strength": 33.247701, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.411393, "energy": 31.144615, "activity_lines": [ 0.020067, 0.019109, 0.017971, 0.016918 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.022, "volume": 965076, "typical_volume": 3564262.9, "trend": 0.0164, "fair_value": 0.024792, "relative_strength": 34.283036, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.104009, "energy": 35.985164, "activity_lines": [ 0.020933, 0.019618, 0.01851, 0.017295 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }