{ "ticker": { "uuid": "062b797b-6783-4d2a-91e8-6326a32f7f39", "symbol": "D2AS34", "name": "DoorDash, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 52.96, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 59.829, "architecture_energy": 58.283, "architecture_maturity": 28.666, "architecture_confidence": 67.727, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.81, "rotation_up": 69.35, "upward_expansion": 56.94, "deceleration": 30.45, "rotation_down": 21.81, "downward_expansion": 19.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 66.758666, 64.71309, 60.912999, 59.803914 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 74.129997, "trend_reference": 60.105667, "distance_from_trend": 0.233328, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 58.783526, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.261068, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.691242, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.176667, "excess_performance": 0.233715, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.233328, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080752, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.261068, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.2998, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.016912, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.410116, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.176667, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.134923, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13884, "relative_activity": 1.627906, "balance": 2.134923, "dry_up": 0.784406, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062904, "annualized_volatility": 0.582987, "from_high_reference": -0.264145, "from_low_reference": 0.500607 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 60.105667, "fair_value_reference": 58.783526, "structural_low": 49.400002, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.037514, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.030961, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.133833, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.312073, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.293227, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.480096, "worst_return": 0.14405, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.561158, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.515036, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.753317, "worst_return": 0.368998, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 1.003687, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.872914, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.073069, "worst_return": 0.934305, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-07-07", "end": "2023-08-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.221259, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-08-18", "end": "2023-10-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.038887, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-10-20", "end": "2023-11-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.00595, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-11-24", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.238559, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.197589, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.036546, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.483912, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.115437, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.099321, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0293, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.020124, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.121117, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.18728, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.133833, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 26.23, "volume": 41, "typical_volume": 509.35, "trend": 20.693, "fair_value": 33.184952, "relative_strength": 25.189121, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", 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8093.4, "trend": 61.615, "fair_value": 57.968077, "relative_strength": -19.121337, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.547857, "energy": 66.279498, "activity_lines": [ 64.544665, 61.024908, 58.439571, 58.81286 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 57.330002, "volume": 226, "typical_volume": 7624.7, "trend": 60.651667, "fair_value": 58.195064, "relative_strength": -26.517535, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.740016, "energy": 48.590249, "activity_lines": [ 62.350666, 60.806181, 58.440714, 58.536408 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.360001, "volume": 7153, "typical_volume": 7940.85, "trend": 60.192, "fair_value": 58.479936, "relative_strength": -15.690319, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.977777, "energy": 40.573578, "activity_lines": [ 63.381334, 62.169272, 59.329571, 58.904688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 74.129997, "volume": 13884, "typical_volume": 8528.75, "trend": 60.105667, "fair_value": 58.783526, "relative_strength": -1.691242, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 59.829139, "energy": 58.282958, "activity_lines": [ 66.758666, 64.71309, 60.912999, 59.803914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }