{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0637a52e-7580-4114-bdbc-5ee952a97561", "symbol": "603766", "name": "Loncin Motor Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 49.228, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -18.314, "architecture_energy": 23.945, "architecture_maturity": 74.15, "architecture_confidence": 49.018, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.36, "rotation_up": 43.73, "upward_expansion": 26.65, "deceleration": 41.18, "rotation_down": 19.39, "downward_expansion": 49.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.803333, 13.210545, 13.299643, 13.585453 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 13.76, "trend_reference": 13.960707, "distance_from_trend": -0.014377, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.417951, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.46104, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.887838, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.069727, "excess_performance": -0.026523, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014377, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028852, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.46104, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.236527, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.018878, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010262, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.069727, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.592769, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 96345654, "relative_activity": 1.026666, "balance": 0.592769, "dry_up": 1.136782, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094666, "annualized_volatility": 0.372489, "from_high_reference": -0.14956, "from_low_reference": 0.249773 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.960707, "fair_value_reference": 9.417951, "structural_low": 11.01, 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13.05, "volume": 107055301, "typical_volume": 94841110.85, "trend": 14.072638, "fair_value": 9.240478, "relative_strength": 1.697424, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.968434, "energy": 38.737866, "activity_lines": [ 12.416667, 12.464382, 13.15704, 13.574017 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.82, "volume": 118289827, "typical_volume": 94596364.35, "trend": 14.026846, "fair_value": 9.297726, "relative_strength": 6.186149, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.575795, "energy": 18.649461, "activity_lines": [ 12.962, 12.665902, 13.174309, 13.557718 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.71, "volume": 105026517, "typical_volume": 93788947.1, "trend": 14.013259, "fair_value": 9.360737, "relative_strength": 12.136829, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.93205, "energy": 15.099111, "activity_lines": [ 13.636, 13.032, 13.282158, 13.601792 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.76, "volume": 96345654, "typical_volume": 93843263.55, "trend": 13.960707, "fair_value": 9.417951, "relative_strength": 1.887838, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.31435, "energy": 23.94484, "activity_lines": [ 13.803333, 13.210545, 13.299643, 13.585453 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }