{ "ticker": { "uuid": "064513e6-8ed7-408d-8f17-0b177de10334", "symbol": "SURYAROSNI", "name": "Surya Roshni Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 50.825, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.65, "architecture_energy": 21.232, "architecture_maturity": 25.377, "architecture_confidence": 78.881, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.48, "rotation_up": 24.4, "upward_expansion": 55.63, "deceleration": 86.97, "rotation_down": 39.61, "downward_expansion": 21.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 245.58, 250.861818, 250.302572, 244.530968 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 252.350006, "trend_reference": 239.917001, "distance_from_trend": 0.051822, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 277.212571, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.089688, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.478313, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.009849, "excess_performance": 0.033861, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.051822, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020399, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.089688, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066028, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.004783, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011969, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.009849, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.393372, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4323060, "relative_activity": 1.277547, "balance": 0.393372, "dry_up": 0.668391, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069735, "annualized_volatility": 0.375568, "from_high_reference": -0.211149, "from_low_reference": 0.346944 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 239.917001, "fair_value_reference": 277.212571, "structural_low": 187.350006, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.003593, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.040105, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.229962, "worst_return": -0.152641, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.003103, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.038408, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.26891, "worst_return": -0.267041, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.050482, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.092158, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.010804, "worst_return": -0.050784, 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }