{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "06461811-0b4b-4e35-af9a-ac85774e8402",
    "symbol": "SYNTEC",
    "name": "Syntec Construction Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.958,
    "architecture_energy": 92.349,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.151,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.786,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 86.7,
        "upward_expansion": 100.0,
        "deceleration": 39.0,
        "rotation_down": 8.02,
        "downward_expansion": 22.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.896667,
        1.819818,
        1.741099,
        1.706678
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.92,
    "trend_reference": 1.666831,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.151886,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.533311,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.252192,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.916421,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.221008,
    "excess_performance": 0.028683,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.151886,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033262,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.252192,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.184355,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009164,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15125,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.221008,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 44.028807,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5387600,
      "relative_activity": 1.353565,
      "balance": 44.028807,
      "dry_up": 2.054717,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032051,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.192452,
      "from_high_reference": -0.015385,
      "from_low_reference": 0.259405
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.666831,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.533311,
      "structural_low": 1.56,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.002794,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007225,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
        "best_return": 0.084746,
        "worst_return": -0.078534,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.073403,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050831,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.130294,
        "worst_return": -0.193692,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.136826,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.068695,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.038251,
        "worst_return": -0.207447,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.047217,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.106564,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.030143,
        "worst_return": -0.202036,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.051948,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.093334,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012658,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.035294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024243,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.003374,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
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        "return": -0.050847,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": -0.012048,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "return": 0.02439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.024648,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.149701,
        "active": true
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    ],
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 901000,
        "typical_volume": 2577250.0,
        "trend": 1.617869,
        "fair_value": 1.515025,
        "relative_strength": -15.627124,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 2982575.0,
        "trend": 1.623494,
        "fair_value": 1.518214,
        "relative_strength": -10.193046,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.347692,
        "energy": 66.72728,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.692,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.85,
        "volume": 10906600,
        "typical_volume": 3234950.0,
        "trend": 1.633065,
        "fair_value": 1.521643,
        "relative_strength": -6.870361,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.909219,
        "energy": 85.504187,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.748667,
          1.708909,
          1.669111,
          1.654548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.9,
        "volume": 10389900,
        "typical_volume": 3595415.0,
        "trend": 1.643663,
        "fair_value": 1.525392,
        "relative_strength": -4.281455,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.86935,
        "energy": 96.009188,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.81,
          1.748727,
          1.6932,
          1.671769
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.92,
        "volume": 6029500,
        "typical_volume": 3841295.0,
        "trend": 1.655247,
        "fair_value": 1.529379,
        "relative_strength": -1.894666,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.190809,
        "energy": 94.782779,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.863333,
          1.786909,
          1.717817,
          1.689598
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.92,
        "volume": 5387600,
        "typical_volume": 3980305.0,
        "trend": 1.666831,
        "fair_value": 1.533311,
        "relative_strength": -0.916421,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.958029,
        "energy": 92.349015,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.896667,
          1.819818,
          1.741099,
          1.706678
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}