{ "ticker": { "uuid": "066c4c2c-83ab-4769-9e28-1bcf755023f1", "symbol": "BFG", "name": "B.F. S.p.A.", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.82, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.681, "architecture_energy": 76.09, "architecture_maturity": 21.619, "architecture_confidence": 83.287, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.82, "rotation_up": 58.85, "upward_expansion": 85.81, "deceleration": 55.24, "rotation_down": 26.22, "downward_expansion": 14.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.02646, 4.986584, 4.942679, 4.832136 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 5.1, "trend_reference": 4.689168, "distance_from_trend": 0.087613, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.144618, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.230512, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.879593, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.153846, "excess_performance": -0.017046, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087613, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057628, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.230512, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001718, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.028796, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033002, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.153846, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.380687, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43128, "relative_activity": 0.034108, "balance": 2.380687, "dry_up": 0.410402, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016173, "annualized_volatility": 0.209706, "from_high_reference": -0.015444, "from_low_reference": 0.284635 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.689168, "fair_value_reference": 4.144618, "structural_low": 4.07, "invalidation": "A 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"modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.239317, "energy": 66.23977, "activity_lines": [ 4.907118, 4.926973, 4.879176, 4.771377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.121703, "volume": 616423, "typical_volume": 1266991.9, "trend": 4.655168, "fair_value": 4.134327, "relative_strength": 0.274073, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.553466, "energy": 79.671698, "activity_lines": [ 4.975463, 4.960312, 4.913703, 4.803437 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.1, "volume": 43128, "typical_volume": 1264448.5, "trend": 4.689168, "fair_value": 4.144618, "relative_strength": -2.879593, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.680689, "energy": 76.090045, "activity_lines": [ 5.02646, 4.986584, 4.942679, 4.832136 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }