{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0674ae65-8d48-4380-a663-873cb51059e7", "symbol": "PDBC", "name": "INVESCO OPTIMUM YIELD DIVERSIFIED COMMODITY STRATEGY NO K-1 ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 73.119, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.563, "architecture_energy": 34.803, "architecture_maturity": 41.822, "architecture_confidence": 50.867, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.67, "rotation_up": 63.84, "upward_expansion": 67.68, "deceleration": 64.92, "rotation_down": 9.52, "downward_expansion": 11.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.418667, 17.044364, 17.213286, 17.086968 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 17.25, "trend_reference": 16.600667, "distance_from_trend": 0.039115, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.475446, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.280106, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.516297, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.209677, "excess_performance": 0.022224, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039115, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079903, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.280106, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10172, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.005163, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073856, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.209677, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.651852, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50619301, "relative_activity": 1.285208, "balance": 0.651852, "dry_up": 1.198835, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044217, "annualized_volatility": 0.236557, "from_high_reference": -0.08971, "from_low_reference": 0.391699 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.600667, "fair_value_reference": 13.475446, "structural_low": 13.975, "invalidation": "A 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"fair_value": 13.418612, "relative_strength": 10.936262, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.502672, "energy": 21.99682, "activity_lines": [ 17.045333, 16.893455, 17.197714, 16.958108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.56, "volume": 28116862, "typical_volume": 39653727.1, "trend": 16.477667, "fair_value": 13.448008, "relative_strength": 7.708889, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.460442, "energy": 32.327593, "activity_lines": [ 17.34, 16.991273, 17.221286, 17.03714 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.25, "volume": 50619301, "typical_volume": 39386083.05, "trend": 16.600667, "fair_value": 13.475446, "relative_strength": 0.516297, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.562825, "energy": 34.803333, "activity_lines": [ 17.418667, 17.044364, 17.213286, 17.086968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }