{ "ticker": { "uuid": "067fb63b-8d7a-454e-94af-51f8c27656bb", "symbol": "CLX", "name": "The Clorox Company", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 60.01, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 19.247, "architecture_energy": 26.42, "architecture_maturity": 30.392, "architecture_confidence": 48.437, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.2, "rotation_up": 42.49, "upward_expansion": 28.17, "deceleration": 49.87, "rotation_down": 16.76, "downward_expansion": 50.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 1735.280648, 1708.101079, 1684.422042, 1731.359875 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1840.819946, "trend_reference": 1806.248153, "distance_from_trend": 0.01914, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2498.775618, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.263311, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.184601, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.101396, "excess_performance": -0.04673, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.01914, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034338, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.263311, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.120888, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.071846, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.258289, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.101396, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.412707, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5021, "relative_activity": 3.872585, "balance": 3.412707, "dry_up": 1.195095, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031177, "annualized_volatility": 0.278242, "from_high_reference": -0.228306, "from_low_reference": 0.219086 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1806.248153, "fair_value_reference": 2498.775618, "structural_low": 1510.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.035701, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.008527, "worst_return": -0.109519, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.13604, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.156668, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.08159, "worst_return": -0.273735, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.019638, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.085386, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.082085, "worst_return": -0.267378, "sufficient": false }, { 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.15094, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.02078, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.000358, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Extended", 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.275341, "energy": 30.902992, "activity_lines": [ 1675.396663, 1670.687269, 1673.36174, 1736.997421 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1690.0, "volume": 1129, "typical_volume": 1046.25, "trend": 1808.068754, "fair_value": 2503.678957, "relative_strength": -15.509733, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.014457, "energy": 26.133742, "activity_lines": [ 1681.165332, 1676.124179, 1670.834924, 1729.246895 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1840.819946, "volume": 5021, "typical_volume": 1296.55, "trend": 1806.248153, "fair_value": 2498.775618, "relative_strength": -7.184601, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 19.24712, "energy": 26.419935, "activity_lines": [ 1735.280648, 1708.101079, 1684.422042, 1731.359875 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }