{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "06807d13-817d-47ec-ab79-deb8ae1ddc03",
    "symbol": "EJAH",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy MSCI Japan Min TE UCITS ETF H EUR Cap",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.941,
    "architecture_energy": 36.052,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.513,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.588,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.73,
        "rotation_up": 41.67,
        "upward_expansion": 69.11,
        "deceleration": 82.63,
        "rotation_down": 27.19,
        "downward_expansion": 16.77
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        29.250927,
        29.322633,
        28.845874,
        28.245204
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 29.7512,
    "trend_reference": 27.532257,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.080594,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.522328,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.449699,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.492254,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.105956,
    "excess_performance": 0.052644,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080594,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065923,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.449699,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021397,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084923,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.081125,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105956,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.998823,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 47554,
      "relative_activity": 2.136836,
      "balance": 2.998823,
      "dry_up": 1.748205,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031483,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.195304,
      "from_high_reference": -0.013499,
      "from_low_reference": 0.400327
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.532257,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.522328,
      "structural_low": 24.9813,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.025438,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.0016,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.076886,
        "worst_return": -0.029276,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.094581,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.059871,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.171556,
        "worst_return": -0.097787,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.122506,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.087589,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.282363,
        "worst_return": -0.030512,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.249191,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.172329,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.337522,
        "worst_return": -0.037396,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.078004,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.060809,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042449,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015379,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009344,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.017714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038989,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012313,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.047225,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.034737,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.263436,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.096575,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.082836,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 19431.4,
        "trend": 27.086617,
        "fair_value": 20.245255,
        "relative_strength": 10.732261,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 64.010394,
        "energy": 54.862643,
        "activity_lines": [
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          27.853189
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 36377,
        "typical_volume": 19932.55,
        "trend": 27.25813,
        "fair_value": 20.337229,
        "relative_strength": 12.350244,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.885819,
        "energy": 50.401917,
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          29.307093,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 28.7087,
        "volume": 55091,
        "typical_volume": 20893.05,
        "trend": 27.39853,
        "fair_value": 20.426963,
        "relative_strength": 7.65403,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.989371,
        "energy": 34.623483,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.08436,
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          28.67434,
          28.093419
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.7512,
        "volume": 47554,
        "typical_volume": 22254.4,
        "trend": 27.532257,
        "fair_value": 20.522328,
        "relative_strength": 8.492254,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.940652,
        "energy": 36.051725,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.250927,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}