{ "ticker": { "uuid": "068617ff-1bc8-4b23-8a40-d31a46c63215", "symbol": "NEE", "name": "NextEra Energy, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -35.1, "architecture_energy": 21.184, "architecture_maturity": 13.831, "architecture_confidence": 62.898, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.05, "rotation_up": 35.61, "upward_expansion": 25.89, "deceleration": 44.23, "rotation_down": 37.68, "downward_expansion": 35.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 76.090667, 76.426182, 76.769593, 77.201321 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 73.400002, "trend_reference": 77.09141, "distance_from_trend": -0.047884, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 64.448704, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.13889, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.756035, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.012527, "excess_performance": -0.186774, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.047884, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027863, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.13889, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105526, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.17756, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145641, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.012527, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.521277, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45, "relative_activity": 0.929752, "balance": 0.521277, "dry_up": 1.373967, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03426, "annualized_volatility": 0.213649, "from_high_reference": -0.108118, "from_low_reference": 0.263085 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 77.09141, "fair_value_reference": 64.448704, "structural_low": 72.550003, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.011524, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.003447, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.120767, "worst_return": -0.098535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.115145, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.044818, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.220199, "worst_return": -0.095051, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.154868, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.056886, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.228918, "worst_return": 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"Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.043388, "energy": 12.709369, "activity_lines": [ 77.440666, 76.960927, 77.182554, 77.428611 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 73.400002, "volume": 45, "typical_volume": 48.4, "trend": 77.09141, "fair_value": 64.448704, "relative_strength": -17.756035, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.099601, "energy": 21.183815, "activity_lines": [ 76.090667, 76.426182, 76.769593, 77.201321 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }