{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "06922654-a3ad-4d91-9e87-8589362a2bee",
    "symbol": "HAL",
    "name": "Halliburton Company",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 75.178,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -45.469,
    "architecture_energy": 60.592,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.216,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.527,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.27,
        "rotation_up": 18.38,
        "upward_expansion": 20.63,
        "deceleration": 45.62,
        "rotation_down": 70.31,
        "downward_expansion": 62.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        28.687334,
        29.463455,
        31.144222,
        31.427289
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 28.040001,
    "trend_reference": 31.249401,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.102703,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.392493,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.023638,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -14.727126,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.047317,
    "excess_performance": -0.221563,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.102703,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075326,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023638,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.222405,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.147271,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.371912,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047317,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.208227,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 200,
      "relative_activity": 0.576535,
      "balance": 0.208227,
      "dry_up": 4.106371,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067502,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.361446,
      "from_high_reference": -0.239808,
      "from_low_reference": 0.622518
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.249401,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.392493,
      "structural_low": 27.16,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.007795,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037788,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.072107,
        "worst_return": -0.12664,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.063564,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.052076,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.199286,
        "worst_return": -0.173471,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.40958,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.283272,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.710411,
        "worst_return": -0.09579,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.334216,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.314913,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.672496,
        "worst_return": -0.141215,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028733,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.085526,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.080722,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007795,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.045371,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.004342,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.066004,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.107622,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.054034,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.247096,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.1279,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.06516,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.60318,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.085155,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 33.860935,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 54.35,
        "trend": 29.474502,
        "fair_value": 23.04641,
        "relative_strength": 13.554098,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.999405,
        "energy": 79.991051,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.613435,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
        "close": 32.965439,
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        "typical_volume": 54.35,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
        "close": 34.159439,
        "volume": 336,
        "typical_volume": 71.15,
        "trend": 29.467321,
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        "relative_strength": 12.136222,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
        "close": 36.350582,
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        "direction": 88.119398,
        "energy": 84.476749,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
        "close": 37.175018,
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        "trend": 29.734135,
        "fair_value": 23.650771,
        "relative_strength": 20.332095,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
        "close": 35.994568,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 29.878178,
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        "energy": 83.409879,
        "activity_lines": [
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      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-13",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-10-20",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-27",
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        "relative_strength": 17.197849,
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      },
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        "date": "2023-11-03",
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        "date": "2023-11-10",
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        "date": "2023-11-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-01",
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        "typical_volume": 73.5,
        "trend": 32.091835,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-08",
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        "typical_volume": 72.75,
        "trend": 32.282773,
        "fair_value": 25.459178,
        "relative_strength": -6.977684,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -44.193804,
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        "date": "2023-12-22",
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        "date": "2024-01-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-12",
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        "volume": 0,
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      {
        "date": "2024-01-19",
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        "relative_strength": -9.999592,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "date": "2024-01-26",
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          30.743802,
          29.098394
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 35.761036,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 238.55,
        "trend": 27.257506,
        "fair_value": 27.155299,
        "relative_strength": 32.055553,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.069042,
        "energy": 59.017809,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.546784,
          32.941607,
          31.372961,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 33.910301,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 238.55,
        "trend": 27.748171,
        "fair_value": 27.214377,
        "relative_strength": 22.464033,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 52.904589,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.826054,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 35.442631,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 238.55,
        "trend": 28.307287,
        "fair_value": 27.276499,
        "relative_strength": 27.501533,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.188276,
        "energy": 63.415623,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.562369,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 35.48243,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 178.55,
        "trend": 28.724822,
        "fair_value": 27.338163,
        "relative_strength": 23.981354,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.150716,
        "energy": 67.925362,
        "activity_lines": [
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          32.707948,
          31.06831
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 32.925228,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 141.25,
        "trend": 29.060407,
        "fair_value": 27.374395,
        "relative_strength": 11.240426,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 46.511169,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.431026,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 34.959999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 141.25,
        "trend": 29.452137,
        "fair_value": 27.418633,
        "relative_strength": 18.526464,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.480454,
        "energy": 46.216881,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.516251,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 34.27,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 140.25,
        "trend": 29.810667,
        "fair_value": 27.460362,
        "relative_strength": 12.4915,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 30.370001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 98.35,
        "trend": 30.097109,
        "fair_value": 27.486418,
        "relative_strength": -4.530435,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 15.556477,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.009526,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 29.83,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 63.75,
        "trend": 30.343012,
        "fair_value": 27.495978,
        "relative_strength": -4.738724,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.056133,
        "energy": 15.523102,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.752349,
          32.985425,
          32.971686,
          32.049606
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 29.6,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 62.15,
        "trend": 30.521635,
        "fair_value": 27.497007,
        "relative_strength": -7.939744,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -12.680873,
        "energy": 29.952207,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.795333,
          32.24628,
          32.708443,
          32.00167
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 29.93,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 62.15,
        "trend": 30.713745,
        "fair_value": 27.492737,
        "relative_strength": -5.875506,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.133596,
        "energy": 42.966442,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.17,
          31.641705,
          32.4728,
          31.9635
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 30.65,
        "volume": 782,
        "typical_volume": 101.1,
        "trend": 30.947259,
        "fair_value": 27.491647,
        "relative_strength": -2.114086,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.512751,
        "energy": 51.104638,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.12,
          31.274058,
          32.303455,
          31.959387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 29.24,
        "volume": 4567,
        "typical_volume": 329.45,
        "trend": 31.132282,
        "fair_value": 27.472909,
        "relative_strength": -8.102258,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.238472,
        "energy": 54.748017,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.841333,
          30.709325,
          31.996893,
          31.849241
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.790001,
        "volume": 149,
        "typical_volume": 336.9,
        "trend": 31.237975,
        "fair_value": 27.43471,
        "relative_strength": -12.767112,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -51.315363,
        "energy": 58.789769,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.154667,
          29.993732,
          31.553784,
          31.63361
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.040001,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 346.9,
        "trend": 31.249401,
        "fair_value": 27.392493,
        "relative_strength": -14.727126,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -45.468642,
        "energy": 60.592419,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.687334,
          29.463455,
          31.144222,
          31.427289
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}