{ "ticker": { "uuid": "069400db-88ae-4c94-8f8f-13488f7f4e7f", "symbol": "001206", "name": "Tianjin Yiyi Hygiene Products Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.79, "architecture_energy": 32.356, "architecture_maturity": 77.092, "architecture_confidence": 88.528, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.31, "rotation_up": 24.22, "upward_expansion": 7.67, "deceleration": 53.8, "rotation_down": 48.81, "downward_expansion": 74.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.578, 18.101818, 18.117958, 18.886395 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 16.74, "trend_reference": 20.490485, "distance_from_trend": -0.183035, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.00486, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.070251, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.780222, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.315453, "excess_performance": -0.322853, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.183035, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160857, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.070251, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144246, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.337802, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045088, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.315453, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.830851, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31405173, "relative_activity": 1.418001, "balance": 0.830851, "dry_up": 2.339441, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142129, "annualized_volatility": 0.518159, "from_high_reference": -0.523628, "from_low_reference": 0.11008 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.490485, "fair_value_reference": 18.00486, "structural_low": 15.08, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.009302, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.036294, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.23399, "worst_return": -0.116751, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.075, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.14824, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.26859, "worst_return": -0.282518, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.018948, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.116804, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.478006, "worst_return": -0.070056, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 17.4, "volume": 71041724, "typical_volume": 19592129.35, "trend": 21.376418, "fair_value": 17.96352, "relative_strength": -30.07941, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.951592, "energy": 21.757598, "activity_lines": [ 19.53, 18.772, 18.614492, 19.517009 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.76, "volume": 48448474, "typical_volume": 21287434.3, "trend": 20.898105, "fair_value": 17.982088, "relative_strength": -34.992349, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.935647, "energy": 21.710052, "activity_lines": [ 18.278, 18.333454, 18.304763, 19.15466 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.74, "volume": 31405173, "typical_volume": 22147501.7, "trend": 20.490485, "fair_value": 18.00486, "relative_strength": -33.780222, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.79048, "energy": 32.355987, "activity_lines": [ 17.578, 18.101818, 18.117958, 18.886395 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }