{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0694ce2a-cdb1-4b2e-b884-1e27d82bccf7", "symbol": "SPBX", "name": "ALLIANZIM 6 MONTH BUFFER10 ALLOCATION ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.336, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.873, "architecture_energy": 49.549, "architecture_maturity": 16.626, "architecture_confidence": 81.069, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.59, "rotation_up": 58.9, "upward_expansion": 82.15, "deceleration": 53.9, "rotation_down": 22.55, "downward_expansion": 6.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.444847, 29.311211, 29.069919, 28.718665 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 29.7468, "trend_reference": 28.31604, "distance_from_trend": 0.050528, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.774745, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.111002, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.455702, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.071679, "excess_performance": -0.053946, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050528, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023052, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.111002, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019134, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.044557, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005368, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071679, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.571148, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53397, "relative_activity": 0.718485, "balance": 3.571148, "dry_up": 0.873486, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020528, "annualized_volatility": 0.064694, "from_high_reference": -0.116519, "from_low_reference": 0.13278 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.31604, "fair_value_reference": 26.774745, "structural_low": 26.61, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 29.3597, "volume": 139741, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.222, "volume": 55959, "typical_volume": 72348.15, "trend": 28.130653, "fair_value": 26.674743, "relative_strength": -2.753321, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.907307, "energy": 45.004252, "activity_lines": [ 29.207213, 29.119607, 28.789036, 28.47596 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.1754, "volume": 63770, "typical_volume": 71336.0, "trend": 28.183833, "fair_value": 26.705615, "relative_strength": -2.232953, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.218693, "energy": 42.919148, "activity_lines": [ 29.21, 29.142618, 28.866477, 28.543363 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.4022, "volume": 86540, "typical_volume": 73190.75, "trend": 28.24799, "fair_value": 26.7385, "relative_strength": -2.401646, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.739341, "energy": 44.447767, "activity_lines": [ 29.28436, 29.19988, 28.957063, 28.621968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.7468, "volume": 53397, "typical_volume": 74318.85, "trend": 28.31604, "fair_value": 26.774745, "relative_strength": -4.455702, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.872508, "energy": 49.549334, "activity_lines": [ 29.444847, 29.311211, 29.069919, 28.718665 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }