{ "ticker": { "uuid": "06aeb453-9754-40e3-8c08-535d8cde8519", "symbol": "STYLEBAAZA", "name": "Baazar Style Retail Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 64.207, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.091, "architecture_energy": 31.58, "architecture_maturity": 6.179, "architecture_confidence": 54.425, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.44, "rotation_up": 21.51, "upward_expansion": 21.67, "deceleration": 53.01, "rotation_down": 55.62, "downward_expansion": 46.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 295.043327, 300.891811, 320.547375, 320.444403 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 320.649994, "trend_reference": 319.934997, "distance_from_trend": 0.002235, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 308.417128, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.039663, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.707597, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.001401, "excess_performance": 0.042308, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002235, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027035, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.039663, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.310512, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.017076, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.380834, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.001401, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.148166, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1518395, "relative_activity": 0.676766, "balance": 0.148166, "dry_up": 0.383216, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110941, "annualized_volatility": 0.698938, "from_high_reference": -0.249063, "from_low_reference": 0.394434 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 319.934997, "fair_value_reference": 308.417128, "structural_low": 229.949997, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.011398, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.012182, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.149682, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.184255, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.587063, "energy": 46.095301, "activity_lines": [ 294.646659, 307.525447, 325.856185, 323.21021 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 271.399994, "volume": 312125, "typical_volume": 2329096.9, "trend": 317.221663, "fair_value": 308.294799, "relative_strength": -13.185399, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.977518, "energy": 55.024257, "activity_lines": [ 286.353327, 299.074538, 320.917851, 320.223221 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 320.649994, "volume": 1518395, "typical_volume": 2243604.05, "trend": 319.934997, "fair_value": 308.417128, "relative_strength": 1.707597, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.090963, "energy": 31.579813, "activity_lines": [ 295.043327, 300.891811, 320.547375, 320.444403 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }