{ "ticker": { "uuid": "06b035e7-c646-4e1a-802f-f11c1487341d", "symbol": "AIRT", "name": "Air T Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.424, "architecture_energy": 65.826, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.435, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.89, "rotation_up": 76.41, "upward_expansion": 86.09, "deceleration": 49.85, "rotation_down": 11.65, "downward_expansion": 10.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.977667, 27.556718, 25.329164, 24.330821 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 32.0, "trend_reference": 23.280273, "distance_from_trend": 0.374554, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.948812, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.527533, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.069237, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.363443, "excess_performance": 0.175989, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.374554, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099659, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.527533, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.516652, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.240692, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.424204, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.363443, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.968178, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 141460, "relative_activity": 5.760534, "balance": 8.968178, "dry_up": 3.47093, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101485, "annualized_volatility": 0.410299, "from_high_reference": -0.085714, "from_low_reference": 0.743869 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.280273, "fair_value_reference": 20.948812, "structural_low": 20.14, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.028057, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.352941, "median_excess_return": -0.035691, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.138322, "worst_return": -0.159574, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.109944, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.155092, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.14753, "worst_return": -0.251457, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.285341, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.252653, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.132369, "worst_return": -0.373238, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.925519, "energy": 76.830723, "activity_lines": [ 26.062, 24.407091, 23.200976, 22.75279 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.0225, "volume": 14004, "typical_volume": 10279.6, "trend": 22.29494, "fair_value": 20.824324, "relative_strength": 9.187294, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.866499, "energy": 76.164049, "activity_lines": [ 26.7555, 25.076509, 23.633205, 23.075777 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.1, "volume": 168262, "typical_volume": 18351.3, "trend": 22.556607, "fair_value": 20.850606, "relative_strength": 11.314171, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.531625, "energy": 73.773378, "activity_lines": [ 27.11, 25.653791, 24.041755, 23.385781 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.06, "volume": 17213, "typical_volume": 18232.65, "trend": 22.855273, "fair_value": 20.887529, "relative_strength": 14.795313, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.043123, "energy": 54.927523, "activity_lines": [ 27.519833, 26.299436, 24.51221, 23.740839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.0, "volume": 141460, "typical_volume": 24556.75, "trend": 23.280273, "fair_value": 20.948812, "relative_strength": 24.069237, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.423792, "energy": 65.826115, "activity_lines": [ 28.977667, 27.556718, 25.329164, 24.330821 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }