{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "06cab389-413b-4f98-90d2-41514f27c664",
    "symbol": "XACT-SVERIGE",
    "name": "XACT Sverige (UCITS ETF)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 82.978,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.793,
    "architecture_energy": 70.645,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.958,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.327,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.01,
        "rotation_up": 67.47,
        "upward_expansion": 87.79,
        "deceleration": 46.4,
        "rotation_down": 15.22,
        "downward_expansion": 14.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 785.799988,
    "trend_reference": 739.941589,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.061976,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 628.601749,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.250076,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.09784,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.050254,
    "excess_performance": -0.01124,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061976,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033802,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.250076,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047633,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010978,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0028,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050254,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.152711,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 121022,
      "relative_activity": 0.874649,
      "balance": 1.152711,
      "dry_up": 0.655558,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023481,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.163369,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007327,
      "from_low_reference": 0.261316
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 739.941589,
      "fair_value_reference": 628.601749,
      "structural_low": 660.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.0039,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000102,
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        "best_return": 0.100482,
        "worst_return": -0.077238,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
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        "worst_return": -0.115788,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.210825,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.148282,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 151936.35,
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        "fair_value": 625.117438,
        "relative_strength": -1.299635,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 771.700012,
        "volume": 86084,
        "typical_volume": 138559.1,
        "trend": 737.67159,
        "fair_value": 626.806977,
        "relative_strength": -0.945377,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 68.335756,
        "energy": 46.511548,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 785.799988,
        "volume": 121022,
        "typical_volume": 138366.4,
        "trend": 739.941589,
        "fair_value": 628.601749,
        "relative_strength": -1.09784,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.793107,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}