{ "ticker": { "uuid": "06d37600-0a9f-4de7-a752-842d809c26ec", "symbol": "ITDD", "name": "ISHARES TRUST LIFEPATH TARGET DATE 2040 ETF USD", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 70.94, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.769, "architecture_energy": 49.673, "architecture_maturity": 56.289, "architecture_confidence": 70.119, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.46, "rotation_up": 51.29, "upward_expansion": 80.04, "deceleration": 64.18, "rotation_down": 27.07, "downward_expansion": 6.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.54346, 38.435438, 38.160142, 37.655108 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 39.2391, "trend_reference": 37.084067, "distance_from_trend": 0.058112, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.454829, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247475, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.815081, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.079299, "excess_performance": -0.046326, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.058112, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030316, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.247475, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01327, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.028151, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009221, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.079299, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.449234, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100188, "relative_activity": 1.098333, "balance": 1.449234, "dry_up": 0.870665, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018426, "annualized_volatility": 0.115479, "from_high_reference": -0.002565, "from_low_reference": 0.191305 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.084067, "fair_value_reference": 31.454829, "structural_low": 34.0799, 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66.609645, "energy": 57.562784, "activity_lines": [ 38.427933, 38.292893, 37.700252, 37.247717 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 38.1582, "volume": 41752, "typical_volume": 90157.55, "trend": 36.796097, "fair_value": 31.30806, "relative_strength": -1.830966, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.640424, "energy": 45.968693, "activity_lines": [ 38.3499, 38.289084, 37.80503, 37.342131 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.99, "volume": 77289, "typical_volume": 89729.05, "trend": 36.87843, "fair_value": 31.354143, "relative_strength": -1.652838, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.33384, "energy": 37.958402, "activity_lines": [ 38.22152, 38.251931, 37.887416, 37.419157 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.27, "volume": 98453, "typical_volume": 89920.55, "trend": 36.97343, "fair_value": 31.401512, "relative_strength": -1.947096, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.781799, "energy": 34.213826, "activity_lines": [ 38.226307, 38.257844, 37.985237, 37.508936 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.2391, "volume": 100188, "typical_volume": 91218.25, "trend": 37.084067, "fair_value": 31.454829, "relative_strength": -2.815081, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.76878, "energy": 49.672901, "activity_lines": [ 38.54346, 38.435438, 38.160142, 37.655108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }