{ "ticker": { "uuid": "06de3921-e854-4d6f-9dc6-4f991c5cf2be", "symbol": "BLA", "name": "Bangkok Life Assurance Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.206, "architecture_energy": 57.52, "architecture_maturity": 76.661, "architecture_confidence": 74.068, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.42, "rotation_up": 50.82, "upward_expansion": 81.49, "deceleration": 71.31, "rotation_down": 26.72, "downward_expansion": 10.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.016667, 25.804545, 24.400481, 23.295242 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 25.25, "trend_reference": 22.10685, "distance_from_trend": 0.14218, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.975068, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.330694, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.259923, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.248764, "excess_performance": 0.056438, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.14218, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110612, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.330694, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.235679, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.072599, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095012, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.248764, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.839713, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5419500, "relative_activity": 0.735551, "balance": 2.839713, "dry_up": 0.920287, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056055, "annualized_volatility": 0.289223, "from_high_reference": -0.081818, "from_low_reference": 0.494185 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.10685, "fair_value_reference": 18.975068, "structural_low": 18.168695, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.004695, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": 0.007347, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.282609, "worst_return": -0.135021, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.003583, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.035063, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.459016, "worst_return": -0.147541, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.091763, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.062859, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.426229, "worst_return": -0.251686, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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25.256363, 23.433769, 22.517434 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.0, "volume": 8443200, "typical_volume": 7442515.0, "trend": 21.736749, "fair_value": 18.926797, "relative_strength": 9.029626, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.895724, "energy": 78.743865, "activity_lines": [ 26.46, 25.555454, 23.813232, 22.807223 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.0, "volume": 5569700, "typical_volume": 7441945.0, "trend": 21.948952, "fair_value": 18.953624, "relative_strength": 9.932345, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.029532, "energy": 65.943636, "activity_lines": [ 26.416667, 25.78, 24.159123, 23.082271 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.25, "volume": 5419500, "typical_volume": 7367945.0, "trend": 22.10685, "fair_value": 18.975068, "relative_strength": 7.259923, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.205661, "energy": 57.519572, "activity_lines": [ 26.016667, 25.804545, 24.400481, 23.295242 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }