{ "ticker": { "uuid": "06e03482-a7a4-4586-ab5c-c997dbda6b58", "symbol": "AVGO", "name": "Broadcom Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 80.25, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.591, "architecture_energy": 24.082, "architecture_maturity": 29.306, "architecture_confidence": 56.093, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.51, "rotation_up": 44.25, "upward_expansion": 59.95, "deceleration": 57.0, "rotation_down": 21.44, "downward_expansion": 16.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 398.886667, 390.443271, 395.615425, 385.014477 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 427.76, "trend_reference": 369.46132, "distance_from_trend": 0.157794, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 227.345283, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.881543, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.976935, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.289597, "excess_performance": 0.102143, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.157794, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029727, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.881543, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.253941, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.049769, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058082, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.289597, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.676732, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 92365564, "relative_activity": 0.786928, "balance": 0.676732, "dry_up": 0.811916, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099293, "annualized_volatility": 0.486795, "from_high_reference": -0.134406, "from_low_reference": 0.528715 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 369.46132, "fair_value_reference": 227.345283, "structural_low": 289.480154, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.029611, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": 0.036219, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.293472, "worst_return": -0.149357, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.143688, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.0917, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.242556, "worst_return": -0.026249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.397408, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.237747, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.537361, "worst_return": -0.029604, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 365.228423, "fair_value": 223.16614, "relative_strength": -0.586891, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.778717, "energy": 11.522665, "activity_lines": [ 378.582, 383.809876, 390.819271, 379.520797 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 389.28, "volume": 104235781, "typical_volume": 120841563.45, "trend": 366.659534, "fair_value": 225.116334, "relative_strength": 0.614573, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.539859, "energy": 8.68992, "activity_lines": [ 383.129667, 383.408622, 391.547586, 381.072512 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 427.76, "volume": 92365564, "typical_volume": 117374795.05, "trend": 369.46132, "fair_value": 227.345283, "relative_strength": 4.976935, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.590642, "energy": 24.0825, "activity_lines": [ 398.886667, 390.443271, 395.615425, 385.014477 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }