{ "ticker": { "uuid": "06e192f2-5804-4925-ab25-ccef5dae279e", "symbol": "XYLG", "name": "GLOBAL X FDS S&P 500 COVERED CALL & GROWTH ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.477, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.169, "architecture_energy": 65.45, "architecture_maturity": 38.073, "architecture_confidence": 79.918, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.29, "rotation_up": 65.75, "upward_expansion": 86.83, "deceleration": 49.82, "rotation_down": 21.07, "downward_expansion": 11.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.130091, 28.919422, 28.636452, 28.21241 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 29.655, "trend_reference": 27.746519, "distance_from_trend": 0.068783, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.439138, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.265192, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.036135, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.089848, "excess_performance": -0.035777, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.068783, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026768, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.265192, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013193, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.020361, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005692, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.089848, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.238908, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 75825, "relative_activity": 0.812278, "balance": 2.238908, "dry_up": 0.667072, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019799, "annualized_volatility": 0.102575, "from_high_reference": -0.003173, "from_low_reference": 0.205526 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.746519, "fair_value_reference": 23.439138, "structural_low": 25.397016, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.014051, "positive_rate": 0.787879, "directional_follow_through": 0.787879, "median_excess_return": -0.001778, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.050407, "worst_return": -0.052046, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.037237, "positive_rate": 0.909091, "directional_follow_through": 0.909091, "median_excess_return": -0.011589, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.082271, "worst_return": -0.03282, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.091625, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.018383, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.11627, "worst_return": -0.006759, "sufficient": true }, { 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.24926, "energy": 49.101143, "activity_lines": [ 28.746118, 28.667499, 28.281318, 27.918809 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.69, "volume": 47518, "typical_volume": 97349.6, "trend": 27.593995, "fair_value": 23.302847, "relative_strength": -0.910291, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.472311, "energy": 49.97403, "activity_lines": [ 28.751136, 28.681001, 28.369794, 27.993178 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.002, "volume": 66521, "typical_volume": 95374.25, "trend": 27.664906, "fair_value": 23.368813, "relative_strength": -0.880424, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.676952, "energy": 53.762307, "activity_lines": [ 28.858187, 28.744851, 28.478368, 28.084017 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.655, "volume": 75825, "typical_volume": 93348.6, "trend": 27.746519, "fair_value": 23.439138, "relative_strength": -2.036135, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.168567, "energy": 65.449678, "activity_lines": [ 29.130091, 28.919422, 28.636452, 28.21241 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }