{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "06e5d378-aa5e-4f83-995c-50414dd5830c",
    "symbol": "000783",
    "name": "Changjiang Securities Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 48.078,
    "architecture_energy": 27.242,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.977,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.962,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.11,
        "rotation_up": 35.84,
        "upward_expansion": 62.16,
        "deceleration": 87.64,
        "rotation_down": 24.03,
        "downward_expansion": 14.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.741333,
        8.775051,
        8.375701,
        8.144975
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 9.04,
    "trend_reference": 8.016221,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.127713,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.585913,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.372627,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.681161,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.04388,
    "excess_performance": 0.03648,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127713,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010198,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.372627,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128405,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076812,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.243482,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04388,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.09603,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 501706350,
      "relative_activity": 1.023641,
      "balance": 1.09603,
      "dry_up": 1.318699,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.095138,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.487443,
      "from_high_reference": -0.118049,
      "from_low_reference": 0.339259
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.016221,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.585913,
      "structural_low": 6.75,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.003101,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011794,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.189027,
        "worst_return": -0.020478,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003508,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.102967,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.09991,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026747,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.252022,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.230199,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.104305,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035153,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 6.525835,
        "relative_strength": 3.353789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 59.632863,
        "energy": 70.703795,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 464984658.75,
        "trend": 7.974221,
        "fair_value": 6.546364,
        "relative_strength": 7.350907,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 57.032133,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.6,
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        "typical_volume": 479559346.45,
        "trend": 7.986554,
        "fair_value": 6.564912,
        "relative_strength": 7.828782,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.575832,
        "energy": 27.546231,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.04,
        "volume": 501706350,
        "typical_volume": 490119264.5,
        "trend": 8.016221,
        "fair_value": 6.585913,
        "relative_strength": 7.681161,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.077686,
        "energy": 27.242377,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}