{ "ticker": { "uuid": "06f1127b-42ef-472d-b6e3-d4b53ecad375", "symbol": "300941", "name": "Chase Science Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.352, "architecture_energy": 48.876, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 68.07, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.49, "rotation_up": 27.38, "upward_expansion": 19.88, "deceleration": 66.99, "rotation_down": 47.78, "downward_expansion": 72.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.300667, 14.215091, 15.175106, 16.533239 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.37, "trend_reference": 18.495079, "distance_from_trend": -0.168968, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.678023, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.290987, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.162128, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.309213, "excess_performance": -0.316613, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.168968, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.170392, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.290987, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.117159, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.321621, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077447, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.309213, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.665742, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52090736, "relative_activity": 3.467156, "balance": 0.665742, "dry_up": 1.819214, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087696, "annualized_volatility": 0.35297, "from_high_reference": -0.508789, "from_low_reference": 0.206436 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.495079, "fair_value_reference": 21.678023, "structural_low": 12.74, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.018668, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.010439, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.520905, "worst_return": -0.234053, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.090524, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.007062, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.417416, "worst_return": -0.257999, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.3321, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.244757, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.728021, "worst_return": -0.392107, "sufficient": true }, { 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-40.923094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.941985, "energy": 70.011561, "activity_lines": [ 13.835333, 14.435105, 15.948616, 17.473857 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.0, "volume": 21014750, "typical_volume": 13005381.9, "trend": 19.05908, "fair_value": 21.759102, "relative_strength": -42.271998, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.503129, "energy": 71.235257, "activity_lines": [ 13.492, 14.065984, 15.527843, 17.048002 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.48, "volume": 20074439, "typical_volume": 13199989.15, "trend": 18.769746, "fair_value": 21.709452, "relative_strength": -33.688095, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.870395, "energy": 65.115699, "activity_lines": [ 13.77, 14.039002, 15.29207, 16.752577 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.37, "volume": 52090736, "typical_volume": 15024052.95, "trend": 18.495079, "fair_value": 21.678023, "relative_strength": -32.162128, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.352378, "energy": 48.876303, "activity_lines": [ 14.300667, 14.215091, 15.175106, 16.533239 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }