{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "06fe6488-29ae-4273-be81-7929ff68a128",
    "symbol": "4950",
    "name": "Golden Win International CORP",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 71.406,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -21.524,
    "architecture_energy": 10.322,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.696,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.349,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.17,
        "rotation_up": 25.34,
        "upward_expansion": 16.14,
        "deceleration": 34.03,
        "rotation_down": 34.09,
        "downward_expansion": 61.47
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.193333,
        16.178182,
        16.324286,
        16.345914
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 16.75,
    "trend_reference": 16.62,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.007822,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 23.675913,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.29253,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -41.83096,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.048295,
    "excess_performance": -0.489667,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007822,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.06539,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.29253,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059952,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.41831,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098842,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048295,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.506227,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 74102,
      "relative_activity": 0.357752,
      "balance": 0.506227,
      "dry_up": 0.598367,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.056257,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.30843,
      "from_high_reference": -0.470784,
      "from_low_reference": 0.196429
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.62,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.675913,
      "structural_low": 14.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.015034,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030089,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.232737,
        "worst_return": -0.215827,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.008264,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.122326,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.26615,
        "worst_return": -0.42446,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.14876,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.470843,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.400517,
        "worst_return": -0.680576,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.345324,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.692685,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.116279,
        "worst_return": -0.455476,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2021-07-16",
        "end": "2021-11-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.002564,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2022-02-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.152455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2022-02-25",
        "end": "2022-05-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.020747,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2022-05-27",
        "end": "2022-08-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.121547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2022-08-12",
        "end": "2022-08-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.097403,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2022-09-02",
        "end": "2023-05-26",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.133333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-06-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.203837,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-06-30",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.592661,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.695652,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.050542,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.129693,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.008265,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-05-08",
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        "return": -0.437582,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "fair_value": 25.201986,
        "relative_strength": -54.448651,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.264382,
        "energy": 19.285664,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.516666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 16.450001,
        "volume": 109360,
        "typical_volume": 209000.4,
        "trend": 17.458333,
        "fair_value": 24.967658,
        "relative_strength": -51.420735,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.413439,
        "energy": 18.969559,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.453333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 16.200001,
        "volume": 104383,
        "typical_volume": 209558.05,
        "trend": 17.313333,
        "fair_value": 24.755357,
        "relative_strength": -53.492229,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.505789,
        "energy": 23.593911,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.33,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 16.049999,
        "volume": 206703,
        "typical_volume": 214223.3,
        "trend": 17.191667,
        "fair_value": 24.598317,
        "relative_strength": -50.960552,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.989596,
        "energy": 27.566357,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.193333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 16.35,
        "volume": 142867,
        "typical_volume": 213001.6,
        "trend": 17.07,
        "fair_value": 24.432607,
        "relative_strength": -51.400233,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.980615,
        "energy": 26.731066,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.236667,
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          16.409762,
          16.616559
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 16.25,
        "volume": 86030,
        "typical_volume": 211798.85,
        "trend": 16.966667,
        "fair_value": 24.27033,
        "relative_strength": -49.237166,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.047678,
        "energy": 25.866758,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.243333,
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          16.406429,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 15.85,
        "volume": 169829,
        "typical_volume": 210747.35,
        "trend": 16.865,
        "fair_value": 24.118526,
        "relative_strength": -46.3846,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.562245,
        "energy": 30.329197,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.106667,
          16.216364,
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          16.491613
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.549999,
        "volume": 183202,
        "typical_volume": 214800.0,
        "trend": 16.806667,
        "fair_value": 23.985876,
        "relative_strength": -44.266709,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.017194,
        "energy": 18.415496,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.243333,
          16.251818,
          16.397619,
          16.47129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.8,
        "volume": 155508,
        "typical_volume": 214819.0,
        "trend": 16.725,
        "fair_value": 23.872047,
        "relative_strength": -44.97565,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.073614,
        "energy": 24.478019,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.106666,
          16.154545,
          16.349048,
          16.406344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.7,
        "volume": 82953,
        "typical_volume": 212544.6,
        "trend": 16.661667,
        "fair_value": 23.760837,
        "relative_strength": -45.095663,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.421886,
        "energy": 36.396975,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.953333,
          16.065454,
          16.289524,
          16.340215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 16.75,
        "volume": 74102,
        "typical_volume": 207132.4,
        "trend": 16.62,
        "fair_value": 23.675913,
        "relative_strength": -41.83096,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -21.52376,
        "energy": 10.321835,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.193333,
          16.178182,
          16.324286,
          16.345914
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}