{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0700a196-74ba-4924-b1d5-f1e547290e57", "symbol": "JPEU", "name": "WisdomTree Short JPY Long EUR", "exchange": "AMS", "country": "NL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 68.149, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.495, "architecture_energy": 65.123, "architecture_maturity": 63.843, "architecture_confidence": 69.248, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.15, "rotation_up": 45.8, "upward_expansion": 65.5, "deceleration": 74.0, "rotation_down": 30.0, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.750999, 62.750999, 62.747666, 62.701449 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 62.750999, "trend_reference": 62.096301, "distance_from_trend": 0.010543, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.084287, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.332738, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.797444, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.000399, "excess_performance": -0.116264, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010543, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115183, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.332738, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046436, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.037974, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156002, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.000399, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.000129, "annualized_volatility": 0.000553, "from_high_reference": -0.000462, "from_low_reference": 0.44222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 62.096301, "fair_value_reference": 47.084287, "structural_low": 62.646, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, 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"positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.146617, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.067494, "worst_return": 0.067494, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2021-07-09", "end": "2021-07-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.008832, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2021-07-30", "end": "2021-08-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.006366, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2021-09-03", "end": "2021-10-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.011319, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2021-10-29", "end": "2021-11-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.029198, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 62.750999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.05, "trend": 59.530834, "fair_value": 46.590928, "relative_strength": 7.731581, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.333333, "energy": 67.166667, "activity_lines": [ 62.750999, 62.750545, 62.743143, 62.11871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 62.750999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.05, "trend": 60.1722, "fair_value": 46.714268, "relative_strength": 6.595944, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.5, "energy": 65.125, "activity_lines": [ 62.750999, 62.750999, 62.744452, 62.326463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 62.750999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.05, "trend": 60.813567, "fair_value": 46.837607, "relative_strength": 6.423645, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.5, "energy": 65.125, "activity_lines": [ 62.750999, 62.750999, 62.745643, 62.492837 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 62.750999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.05, "trend": 61.454934, "fair_value": 46.960947, "relative_strength": 5.242453, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.5, "energy": 65.125, "activity_lines": [ 62.750999, 62.750999, 62.746714, 62.617832 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.750999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.05, "trend": 62.096301, "fair_value": 47.084287, "relative_strength": 3.797444, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.495474, "energy": 65.123416, "activity_lines": [ 62.750999, 62.750999, 62.747666, 62.701449 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }