{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0703f32b-f251-46c0-8267-67245a1b9cd0", "symbol": "2221", "name": "Tachia Yung Ho Machine Industry Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.239, "architecture_energy": 41.595, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.117, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.78, "rotation_up": 49.17, "upward_expansion": 78.53, "deceleration": 65.43, "rotation_down": 25.11, "downward_expansion": 5.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.693333, 47.941379, 45.515167, 42.345328 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 52.299999, "trend_reference": 38.259181, "distance_from_trend": 0.366992, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.138143, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.735342, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.574612, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.794427, "excess_performance": 0.353055, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.366992, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.199517, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.735342, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.131717, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.145746, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048103, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.794427, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.753278, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2035032, "relative_activity": 0.553958, "balance": 0.753278, "dry_up": 0.586303, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127373, "annualized_volatility": 0.679457, "from_high_reference": -0.118044, "from_low_reference": 0.964391 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.259181, "fair_value_reference": 30.138143, "structural_low": 28.466851, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.010563, "positive_rate": 0.37037, "directional_follow_through": 0.37037, "median_excess_return": -0.028998, "regime_survival": 0.703704, "best_return": 0.323091, "worst_return": -0.184615, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.008475, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.066267, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.373183, "worst_return": -0.182102, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.050424, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.079571, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.235553, "worst_return": -0.111841, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"direction": 57.267519, "energy": 40.909033, "activity_lines": [ 47.343239, 46.620975, 43.849387, 40.742667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.950001, "volume": 912110, "typical_volume": 3578097.05, "trend": 37.503539, "fair_value": 30.011665, "relative_strength": 6.551015, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.528903, "energy": 37.527096, "activity_lines": [ 47.134915, 46.846894, 44.467944, 41.390718 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 52.299999, "volume": 2035032, "typical_volume": 3673618.65, "trend": 38.259181, "fair_value": 30.138143, "relative_strength": 14.574612, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.238728, "energy": 41.594504, "activity_lines": [ 48.693333, 47.941379, 45.515167, 42.345328 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }