{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "070a4a8c-998c-4242-af49-8685a9e0d89c",
    "symbol": "HSUK",
    "name": "HSBC UK Screened Equity UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 99.072,
    "architecture_energy": 98.249,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.581,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.73,
        "rotation_up": 90.76,
        "upward_expansion": 99.85,
        "deceleration": 39.04,
        "rotation_down": 8.11,
        "downward_expansion": 21.85
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.309066,
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 29.834999,
    "trend_reference": 23.468807,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.271262,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 19.605994,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.521728,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 22.248545,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.263456,
    "excess_performance": 0.210145,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.271262,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030034,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.521728,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.322828,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.222485,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.201438,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.263456,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2778.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2701,
      "relative_activity": 19.438647,
      "balance": 2778.0,
      "dry_up": 4.998201,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032599,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.303015,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001339,
      "from_low_reference": 0.428749
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.468807,
      "fair_value_reference": 19.605994,
      "structural_low": 21.2633,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.008914,
        "positive_rate": 0.607143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.607143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015914,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.091491,
        "worst_return": -0.071972,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.03164,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
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        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.037618,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.083052,
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        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.004839,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.04764,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 22.7255,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.0,
        "trend": 22.713693,
        "fair_value": 18.955279,
        "relative_strength": 2.104758,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.961807,
        "energy": 16.496622,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.886633,
          22.680676,
          22.865818,
          22.847582
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 22.2404,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.0,
        "trend": 22.738473,
        "fair_value": 18.990517,
        "relative_strength": 1.781576,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.803344,
        "energy": 13.024938,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.632507,
          22.625042,
          22.795354,
          22.817047
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 22.960899,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.0,
        "trend": 22.766193,
        "fair_value": 19.032394,
        "relative_strength": 2.838981,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -8.171747,
        "energy": 8.9065,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.676966,
          22.717169,
          22.79578,
          22.831397
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 22.91,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 0.05,
        "trend": 22.784493,
        "fair_value": 19.07451,
        "relative_strength": 1.662978,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -7.529941,
        "energy": 5.644173,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.75086,
          22.785992,
          22.791132,
          22.840675
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 22.943701,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.05,
        "trend": 22.811963,
        "fair_value": 19.117202,
        "relative_strength": 1.272135,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 6.278571,
        "energy": 3.206671,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.829833,
          22.831004,
          22.792084,
          22.850947
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 23.486799,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.05,
        "trend": 22.85583,
        "fair_value": 19.162511,
        "relative_strength": 1.92176,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.542011,
        "energy": 28.238397,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.0734,
          22.947445,
          22.846567,
          22.894484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 23.3346,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.05,
        "trend": 22.908237,
        "fair_value": 19.209263,
        "relative_strength": 0.345704,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.159236,
        "energy": 40.745893,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.21548,
          23.01636,
          22.884192,
          22.925373
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 23.891399,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.05,
        "trend": 22.957647,
        "fair_value": 19.258502,
        "relative_strength": 3.047914,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.007967,
        "energy": 64.817755,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.470213,
          23.182549,
          22.974419,
          22.988803
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 24.2355,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.05,
        "trend": 23.021107,
        "fair_value": 19.313292,
        "relative_strength": 2.884131,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.092222,
        "energy": 80.54558,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.777613,
          23.407038,
          23.096096,
          23.071245
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 23.991301,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.05,
        "trend": 23.078897,
        "fair_value": 19.363623,
        "relative_strength": 3.724226,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.842722,
        "energy": 77.901363,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.915247,
          23.561349,
          23.191384,
          23.133838
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.3871,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 0.1,
        "trend": 23.1329,
        "fair_value": 19.413563,
        "relative_strength": 5.233694,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.46162,
        "energy": 84.616458,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.114973,
          23.764093,
          23.325139,
          23.218238
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.4433,
        "volume": 6,
        "typical_volume": 0.4,
        "trend": 23.19044,
        "fair_value": 19.463589,
        "relative_strength": 4.886321,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.261388,
        "energy": 83.703895,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.273413,
          23.946844,
          23.463332,
          23.30278
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.8414,
        "volume": 70,
        "typical_volume": 3.9,
        "trend": 23.254707,
        "fair_value": 19.518787,
        "relative_strength": 4.749835,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.063123,
        "energy": 83.056091,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.49064,
          24.161924,
          23.633338,
          23.409294
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.834999,
        "volume": 2701,
        "typical_volume": 138.95,
        "trend": 23.468807,
        "fair_value": 19.605994,
        "relative_strength": 22.248545,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 99.072198,
        "energy": 98.249087,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.309066,
          25.25074,
          24.266292,
          23.833829
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}