{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0714aee2-73a0-4426-b9da-e589da54bc87",
    "symbol": "300994",
    "name": "Joy Kie Corporation Limited",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.562,
    "architecture_energy": 62.681,
    "architecture_maturity": 88.028,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.71,
        "rotation_up": 27.53,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 59.43,
        "rotation_down": 54.69,
        "downward_expansion": 85.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.531333,
        10.685097,
        11.495347,
        12.406517
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 10.99,
    "trend_reference": 13.689959,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.197222,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 13.216593,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.168469,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -30.836394,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.347774,
    "excess_performance": -0.355174,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.197222,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118537,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.168469,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.217444,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.308364,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006561,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.347774,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.331535,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11501506,
      "relative_activity": 0.757676,
      "balance": 0.331535,
      "dry_up": 0.733611,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.07751,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.348721,
      "from_high_reference": -0.483015,
      "from_low_reference": 0.141225
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.689959,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.216593,
      "structural_low": 9.63,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.007761,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005552,
        "regime_survival": 0.722222,
        "best_return": 0.195773,
        "worst_return": -0.191472,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.093226,
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        "best_return": 0.083851,
        "worst_return": -0.235173,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.094835,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.09608,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.383862,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.206752,
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        "worst_return": -0.148752,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "return": 0.076,
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.71,
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        "fair_value": 13.269249,
        "relative_strength": -38.033382,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 84.278003,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.69,
        "volume": 10775110,
        "typical_volume": 15126711.85,
        "trend": 13.849959,
        "fair_value": 13.242081,
        "relative_strength": -29.986896,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.096295,
        "energy": 65.737898,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.99,
        "volume": 11501506,
        "typical_volume": 15179973.25,
        "trend": 13.689959,
        "fair_value": 13.216593,
        "relative_strength": -30.836394,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.561725,
        "energy": 62.681399,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}