{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "071b9986-2602-46e2-903e-983a33316c46",
    "symbol": "TCH-F114",
    "name": "Tachlit Indices Mutual Fund Management Ltd. - Tachlit SAL (4D) MSCI India",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -54.158,
    "architecture_energy": 63.591,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.832,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.86,
        "rotation_up": 27.99,
        "upward_expansion": 22.5,
        "deceleration": 67.0,
        "rotation_down": 47.38,
        "downward_expansion": 67.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.899067,
        7.814745,
        200.011908,
        351.892453
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 7.963,
    "trend_reference": 534.880966,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.985113,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 912.3707,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.991272,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -99.009418,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.990918,
    "excess_performance": -1.019818,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.985113,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.362559,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.991272,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.77288,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.990094,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.607493,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.990918,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.654584,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4063,
      "relative_activity": 0.139145,
      "balance": 0.654584,
      "dry_up": 0.316852,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 7.409055,
      "annualized_volatility": 6.348726,
      "from_high_reference": -0.99193,
      "from_low_reference": 0.10352
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 534.880966,
      "fair_value_reference": 912.3707,
      "structural_low": 7.216,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.015306,
        "positive_rate": 0.434783,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.565217,
        "median_excess_return": -0.045006,
        "regime_survival": 0.826087,
        "best_return": 0.091918,
        "worst_return": -0.989093,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.012435,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.119642,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.094388,
        "worst_return": -0.990047,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.022591,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.098967,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.21343,
        "worst_return": -0.19203,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.005257,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.106917,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.411487,
        "worst_return": -0.123896,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2022-11-18",
        "end": "2022-12-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.017546,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2022-12-30",
        "end": "2023-01-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.038703,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-02-03",
        "end": "2023-02-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.041849,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-02-24",
        "end": "2023-05-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.059657,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2023-06-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.020188,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.117832,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-11-24",
        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.065866,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
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        "return": 0.263112,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.042688,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": -0.013592,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 32788.6,
        "trend": 564.458866,
        "fair_value": 917.806834,
        "relative_strength": -99.031732,
        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -64.583161,
        "energy": 67.430229,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.963,
        "volume": 4063,
        "typical_volume": 29199.75,
        "trend": 534.880966,
        "fair_value": 912.3707,
        "relative_strength": -99.009418,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.158461,
        "energy": 63.591462,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}